VoxPop top scenarios
100% of voters backed the top 1 scenario · 1 voters
The matchAwaiting result
Lazio vs Inter
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Do both teams score at least one goal in regulation?
100%Crowd
10%Market
+90Divergence
+90 ppts divergence with the market.
The crowd are calling no on do both teams score at least one goal in regulation.
QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Do both teams score at least one goal in regulation?Biggest gap10%100% no+90
2Who wins this match?20%100% Away+80
3Are there three or more total goals in regulation?40%100% no+60
4Is the home side ahead at half time?60%100% no+40
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario100%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters1World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins this match?
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters1
2Are there three or more total goals in regulation?
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters1
3Do both teams score at least one goal in regulation?
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters1
4Is the home side ahead at half time?
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters1
Crowd vs market · every leg
How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.
The crowd's map · top scenarios
★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).
The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins this match?Are there three or more total goals in regulation?Do both teams score at least one goal in regulation?Is the home side ahead at half time?
1100%1 voter
AwayPending
noPending
noPending
noPending
1.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (1 voters · top 1 of 1 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.00How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.0×The most-backed combination drew 1.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-1The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-1; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-1. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
Our insights are a read-only record of what our World ID holders expressed in our polls, not VoxPop predictions. The crowd's read is not to be considered financial advice.
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