Soccer season top 10
- 1
100.0% - 2100.0%
- 3
100.0% - 4
100.0% - 5
100.0% - 695.8%
- 7
91.7% - 8
91.7% - 986.7%
- 10
83.3%
Week of 7 Sept
- 1100.0%
- 2100.0%
- 3100.0%
- 486.7%
- 583.3%
- 683.3%
- 783.3%
- 880.0%
- 980.0%
- 1080.0%
Result is in.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd ran far above market on both teams scoring. That gap met the outcome on the wrong side.
Liverpool beat Atlético Madrid 2-1.
Crowd called 2 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd well above market on both teams scoring, and that gap was the defining divergence of this poll.
Arsenal beat Napoli 1-0.
Crowd called 1 of 3 legs; market called 2.
Crowd sat 18 points above the market on Arsenal, and that read aligned with the result.
Sporting CP beat Galatasaray 3-1.
Crowd called 2 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd ran well above market on Under 2.5 goals, a lean the final score did not support.
Barcelona beat Feyenoord 5-1.
Crowd called 2 of 3 legs; market called 3.
Crowd meaningfully cooler on Over 2.5 goals than the market. That cautious lean met an outcome that went the other way.
+35pt gap on elche vs real sociedad: how does it end.
Crowd 75%, Market 40%.
Crowd sits far above market on Real Sociedad win. The standout divergence in this poll.
+25pt gap on udinese vs lazio: how does it end.
Crowd 62%, Market 37%.
Crowd sits well above market on Lazio, the widest gap in the poll.
+24pt gap on getafe vs celta vigo: how does it end.
Crowd 52%, Market 28%.
Crowd leans heavily to Celta Vigo, well above a market that prices them last.
0pt gap on cagliari vs lecce: how does it end.
Crowd 49%, Market 49%.
Crowd overweights Lecce, underweights the draw. The market and crowd split sharply on both.
Huachipato and Colo-Colo drew 0-0.
Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.
Crowd pushed Colo-Colo well above market price, while the draw landed as the field's least-backed call.
Espanyol and Sevilla drew 1-1.
Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.
Crowd piled into Sevilla win, 25 points above market, but the draw nobody favoured arrived instead.
Juventus and AC Milan drew 1-1.
Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.
Crowd underweights the draw sharply vs the market, and the draw is exactly what landed.
-1pt gap on how does it end.
Crowd 47%, Market 48%.
Crowd runs well above market on Leon, well below on Tie. The real divergence story.
Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys drew 1-1.
Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.
Crowd well above market on Newell's, below on Rosario. The draw rendered both reads moot.
Arsenal beat Chelsea 2-1.
Crowd and market both called 1 of 1 legs.
Crowd ran well above the market on Chelsea, well below on Arsenal. Chelsea did not deliver.
Everton and Manchester United drew 2-2.
Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.
Crowd piled on Manchester United, far above market, draw proved both wrong.
Atlas and Atlante drew 1-1.
Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.
Crowd above market on Atlante, below on Atlas, draw underweighted by both sides.
-2pt gap on américa vs tijuana: how does it end.
Crowd 59%, Market 61%.
Crowd runs above the market on Tijuana, below on the draw. The clearest divergence points.
Hull City and Aston Villa drew 0-0.
Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.
Crowd piles into Villa win at nearly double the draw's market price, draw lands instead.
Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich drew 0-0.
Crowd and market both called 0 of 1 legs.
No crowd-vs-market gap to speak of: Schalke and Tie splits are the only mild wrinkles, with Tie landing as the actual.