The crowd called it — Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won 2–0.
Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento (Junín) 548 verified humans answered. Crowd well above market on Sarmiento, below on Gimnasia. The gap that defined this poll, with Gimnasia winning.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and the crowd had it right.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's plurality vision: Gimnasia controlling home ground and taking the points, though with noticeably less conviction than the market price implied.
A substantial minority saw Sarmiento pulling off the away result, a scenario the crowd backed at roughly twice the rate the market considered realistic.
The crowd's least-favoured outcome, with the fewest voters imagining both sides cancelling each other out and the points shared.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology0.39
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.