The crowd backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro. It finished 0–0.
San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys 543 verified humans answered. Crowd overweights San Lorenzo, sharply underweights the draw vs market, and the draw lands.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was more confident in CA San Lorenzo de Almagro than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
Nearly half the crowd saw San Lorenzo as the clear home force, backing them at a rate well above what the market implied.
A solid minority saw Newell's taking the points on the road, also above the market's own read on the visitors.
Only a small slice of the crowd envisioned a stalemate, leaving the draw as the most underweighted outcome relative to the market.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.02
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.