The crowd backed CR Flamengo. It finished 0–0.
Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata 557 verified humans answered. Crowd well above market on Estudiantes, well below on Flamengo. The draw landed as the field's blind spot.
How the crowd voted
Where the crowd split from the market
The crowd was less confident in CR Flamengo than the betting price implied. That gap is the interesting part of this poll, and it went against the result.
What the crowd was thinking
The crowd's dominant vision: Flamengo controlling the final and converting home advantage into a winning result, though with less certainty than the market priced in.
A sizeable minority saw Estudiantes pulling off the upset, a conviction held far more strongly by the crowd than the market was willing to price.
The crowd's least-favoured vision: a deadlocked, unresolved contest where neither side could force a winner inside ninety minutes.
How well calibrated was the crowd?Brier score, conviction and full methodology1.17
0 is a perfect confident call, 0.25 a coin flip. Higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened.
The odds the crowd’s own split implied for its top pick. Shorter odds mean more conviction.
Ballots whose pick matched the result. Computed from the crowd’s own vote split — no betting market involved.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes, never mid-vote. “Crowd called it” means the crowd’s top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.