All resolved pollsResolved · 24 OCT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Coventry City0
FulhamWon · Crowd had 52%1
The verdict

The crowd called it — Fulham won 0–1.

Coventry City vs Fulham 540 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 12 points above the market's price on Fulham, and the crowd had it.

52%Crowd on Fulham
40%Market price
+12Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
1 / 3questions the crowd called · 1 alongside the market · 2 surprises
Match resultCrowd & market agreed
there be more than 2.5…Surprise
both teams scoreSurprise
The crowd's read
Top scenario24%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters540World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Fulham ✓52%
Coventry29%
Tie20%
OutcomeFulham
Voters540
ReadConsensus
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals50%
Under 2.5 goals ✓50%
OutcomeUnder 2.5 goals
Voters540
ReadUpset
3Will both teams score?
Yes66%
No ✓34%
OutcomeNo
Voters540
ReadUpset
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: FulhamConsensus
Mkt 40%Crowd 52%+12pp
Result: Fulham · 0.35
: Deep
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goalsUpset
Mkt 55%Crowd 50%-5pp
Result: Under 2.5 goals · 0.50
: Deep
Will both teams score: YesUpset
Mkt 60%Crowd 66%+6pp
Result: No · 0.87
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Match result0.35
Will there be more than 2.5 goals0.50
Will both teams score0.87
Average0.58
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 24% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Fulham take the points in an open, entertaining contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultFulham
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 14% of voters

A vocal minority saw Coventry turning the tables in a lively, end-to-end affair with both teams contributing to a high-scoring home win.

Match resultCoventry
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 3 · 13% of voters · came true

A tight, disciplined Fulham victory with one team kept scoreless, goals at a premium, and the match settled by the narrowest of margins.

Match resultFulham
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
51% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 540 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
124%128 voters
FulhamCalled it!
Over 2.5 goalsGot it wrong
YesGot it wrong
1.4×
214%73 voters
CoventryGot it wrong
Over 2.5 goalsGot it wrong
YesGot it wrong
1.4×
313%72 voters
FulhamCalled it!
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
NoCalled it!
1.5×
411%59 voters
FulhamCalled it!
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
YesGot it wrong
0.6×
57%37 voters
TieGot it wrong
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
YesGot it wrong
1.0×
67%36 voters
CoventryGot it wrong
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
NoCalled it!
1.4×
76%33 voters
CoventryGot it wrong
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
YesGot it wrong
0.6×
86%33 voters
TieGot it wrong
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
NoCalled it!
1.8×
95%29 voters
TieGot it wrong
Over 2.5 goalsGot it wrong
YesGot it wrong
0.8×
104%21 voters
FulhamCalled it!
Over 2.5 goalsGot it wrong
NoCalled it!
0.4×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (540 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.20How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.4×The most-backed combination drew 1.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-4The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-4; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-6. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
3 / 372 · 13%
2 / 3149 · 28%
1 / 3217 · 40%
0 / 3102 · 19%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=540). Average 1.35 / 3.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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