How well the crowd has actually read it.
A growing, transparent record of the verified crowd's collective reads versus what happened — calibration, sharpness, and how it stacked up against the betting market. A record, not a prediction; the market is a yardstick, not a call. Not advice.
Matches in the record0each a full joint read
World ID voters0across the resolved set
Crowd Brier (matches)—calibration · 0 = perfect, lower better
Closer than the market—legs the crowd read nearer the result
Headline pick matched—for context — not the focus
Early days — these figures firm up as more matches resolve.
THE FULL LOG
No resolved matches yet.
"Result landed" notes which side read the headline question right: Crowd — the crowd's most-backed pick was the result; Market — the crowd missed, but the betting market's favourite landed; Upset — neither favoured it. ← All matches
