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Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Who leads at half-time?
75%Crowd
2%Market
+73Divergence

+73 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd far above market on halftime tie, where the price is near zero.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who leads at half-time?Biggest gap2%75% Tie+73
2Will Washington win by 5 or more?46%75% No+29
3Who wins?65%50% Washington Commanders-15
4Will there be more than 40.5 points?49%50% Over 40.5+1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario50%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters4World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Washington Commanders50%
Philadelphia Eagles50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
2Will Washington win by 5 or more?
No75%
Yes25%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
3Will there be more than 40.5 points?
Over 40.550%
Under 40.550%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
4Who leads at half-time?
Tie75%
Washington25%
Philadelphia0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Washington Commanders
Mkt 65%Crowd 50%-15pp
: Thin
Will Washington win by 5 or more: No
Mkt 46%Crowd 75%+29pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 40.5 points: Over 40.5
Mkt 49%Crowd 50%+1pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Tie
Mkt 2%Crowd 75%+73pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 50% of voters

A defensive, evenly contested game where Philadelphia edges it without a blowout, the scoring stays low, and neither side holds an advantage at the break.

Who wins?Philadelphia Eagles
Will Washington win by 5 or more?No
Will there be more than 40.5 points?Under 40.5
Who leads at half-time?Tie
Scenario 2 · 25% of voters

Washington wins a high-scoring, back-and-forth contest that stays within a small margin, with the teams level and trading blows through the first half.

Who wins?Washington Commanders
Will Washington win by 5 or more?No
Will there be more than 40.5 points?Over 40.5
Who leads at half-time?Tie
Scenario 3 · 25% of voters

Washington controls from the opening drive, builds a commanding lead by halftime, and piles on points in a dominant, high-scoring performance throughout.

Who wins?Washington Commanders
Will Washington win by 5 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 40.5 points?Over 40.5
Who leads at half-time?Washington
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 4 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Washington win by 5 or more?Will there be more than 40.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
150%2 voters
Philadelphia EaglesPending
NoPending
Under 40.5Pending
TiePending
3.6×
225%1 voter
Washington CommandersPending
NoPending
Over 40.5Pending
TiePending
1.8×
325%1 voter
Washington CommandersPending
YesPending
Over 40.5Pending
WashingtonPending
16.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (4 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.70How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call3.6×The most-backed combination drew 3.6× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-7. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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