All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Coventry City
Sunderland
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
56%Crowd
41%Market
+15Divergence

+15 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd leans Sunderland well above market price, the widest gap across all three legs.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap41%56% Sunderland+15
2Will both teams score?54%66% Yes+12
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?52%51% Under 2.5 goals-1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario25%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters516World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Sunderland56%
Coventry24%
Tie20%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters516
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Under 2.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals49%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters516
3Will both teams score?
Yes66%
No34%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters516
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Sunderland
Mkt 41%Crowd 56%+15pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals
Mkt 52%Crowd 51%-1pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 54%Crowd 66%+12pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 25% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Sunderland take the points in an open, entertaining contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultSunderland
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 15% of voters

A tight, controlled Sunderland victory with Coventry shut out and the game decided by the narrowest of margins, goals at a premium.

Match resultSunderland
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 13% of voters

Sunderland win a cagey affair where both sides score but the game stays low on goals, a scrappy and hard-fought result for the away side.

Match resultSunderland
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
52% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 516 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
125%127 voters
SunderlandPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
215%76 voters
SunderlandPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
313%67 voters
SunderlandPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
410%54 voters
CoventryPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.3×
58%39 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
65%28 voters
CoventryPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
75%28 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.8×
85%27 voters
CoventryPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.3×
95%25 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.4×
104%19 voters
SunderlandPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.4×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (516 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.17How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.4×The most-backed combination drew 1.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-4The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-4; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-6. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
Browse all matches