All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Jaguares de Córdoba
Llaneros
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
45%Crowd
35%Market
+10Divergence

+10 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on Jaguares, well below on Tie and Llaneros.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap35%45% Jaguares de Córdoba FC+10
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario45%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters558World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Jaguares de Córdoba FC45%
Llaneros FC33%
Tie22%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters558
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Jaguares de Córdoba FC
Mkt 35%Crowd 45%+10pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 45% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Jaguares de Córdoba FC take the result, a conviction that towers above the market's own assessment of that outcome.

Match resultJaguares de Córdoba FC
Scenario 2 · 33% of voters

A meaningful slice of the crowd sees Llaneros FC coming away with the result, though the crowd is cooler on this path than the market price implies.

Match resultLlaneros FC
Scenario 3 · 22% of voters

The smallest crowd camp envisions a shared spoils finish, with the crowd notably more sceptical of this outcome than the market price suggests.

Match resultTie
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 558 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch result
145%252 voters
Jaguares de Córdoba FCPending
1.0×
233%183 voters
Llaneros FCPending
1.0×
322%123 voters
TiePending
1.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (558 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.00How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.0×The most-backed combination drew 1.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-2. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
Browse all matches