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Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Who leads at half-time?
80%Crowd
63%Market
+17Divergence

+17 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above the market on Carolina leading at half-time.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who leads at half-time?Biggest gap63%80% Carolina+17
2Will Carolina win by 4 or more?46%60% Yes+14
3Will there be more than 44.5 points?50%60% Under 44.5+10
4Who wins?61%60% Carolina Panthers-1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario60%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters5World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Carolina Panthers60%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers40%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
2Will Carolina win by 4 or more?
Yes60%
No40%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
3Will there be more than 44.5 points?
Under 44.560%
Over 44.540%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
4Who leads at half-time?
Carolina80%
Tie20%
Tampa Bay0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Carolina Panthers
Mkt 61%Crowd 60%-1pp
: Thin
Will Carolina win by 4 or more: Yes
Mkt 46%Crowd 60%+14pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 44.5 points: Under 44.5
Mkt 50%Crowd 60%+10pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Carolina
Mkt 63%Crowd 80%+17pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 60% of voters

A controlled Carolina performance: the Panthers lead at the break, grind out a winning margin of four or more, and the scoring stays modest throughout.

Who wins?Carolina Panthers
Will Carolina win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 44.5 points?Under 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Carolina
Scenario 2 · 20% of voters

A twist: Carolina holds the half-time advantage but Tampa Bay rallies to take the game in a high-scoring finish, keeping the final margin tight.

Who wins?Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Will Carolina win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 44.5 points?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Carolina
Scenario 3 · 20% of voters

An evenly matched first half gives way to a high-scoring second half that Tampa Bay ultimately wins, with neither side pulling clear before the break.

Who wins?Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Will Carolina win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 44.5 points?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Tie
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 5 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Carolina win by 4 or more?Will there be more than 44.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
160%3 voters
Carolina PanthersPending
YesPending
Under 44.5Pending
CarolinaPending
3.5×
220%1 voter
Tampa Bay BuccaneersPending
NoPending
Over 44.5Pending
CarolinaPending
3.9×
320%1 voter
Tampa Bay BuccaneersPending
NoPending
Over 44.5Pending
TiePending
15.6×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (5 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.76How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call3.5×The most-backed combination drew 3.5× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-6. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.