All resolved pollsResolved · 20 SEPT 2026Crowd beat the market
Baltimore RavensCrowd's pick · 50%17
New Orleans SaintsWon · Crowd had 50%24
The verdict

The crowd called it — New Orleans Saints won 17–24.

Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints 543 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 28 points above the market's price on New Orleans Saints, and the crowd had it.

50%Crowd on New Orleans Saints
22%Market price
+28Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
2 / 4questions the crowd called · 1 surprise
winsCrowd beat the market
Baltimore win by 8 or…Crowd beat the market
there be more than 46.5…Surprise
leads at half-timeMarket beat the crowd
The crowd's read
Top scenario14%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationModeratehow much answers moved together
Voters543World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Baltimore Ravens50%
New Orleans Saints ✓50%
OutcomeNew Orleans Saints
Voters543
ReadCrowd
2Will Baltimore win by 8 or more?
New Orleans Saints +7.5 ✓55%
Baltimore Ravens -7.545%
OutcomeNew Orleans Saints +7.5
Voters543
ReadCrowd
3Will there be more than 46.5 points?
Over 46.554%
Under 46.5 ✓46%
OutcomeUnder 46.5
Voters543
ReadUpset
4Who leads at half-time?
New Orleans Saints41%
Baltimore Ravens ✓39%
Tie20%
OutcomeBaltimore Ravens
Voters543
ReadMarket
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: New Orleans SaintsCrowd
Mkt 22%Crowd 50%+28pp
Result: New Orleans Saints · 0.50
: Deep
Will Baltimore win by 8 or more: New Orleans Saints +7.5Crowd
Mkt 49%Crowd 55%+6pp
Result: New Orleans Saints +7.5 · 0.40
: Deep
Will there be more than 46.5 points: Over 46.5Upset
Mkt 51%Crowd 54%+3pp
Result: Under 46.5 · 0.58
: Deep
Who leads at half-time: New Orleans SaintsMarket
Mkt 25%Crowd 41%+16pp
Result: Baltimore Ravens · 0.58
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Who wins0.50
Will Baltimore win by 8 or more0.40
Will there be more than 46.5 points0.58
Who leads at half-time0.58
Average0.52
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 14% of voters

A Saints-led, high-scoring game from wire to wire. The crowd's most coordinated vision, with New Orleans controlling both halves and the scoreboard running hot.

Who wins?New Orleans Saints
Will Baltimore win by 8 or more?New Orleans Saints +7.5
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Over 46.5
Who leads at half-time?New Orleans Saints
Scenario 2 · 12% of voters

A Ravens blowout in an open, free-scoring game. Baltimore dominant from the first half, covering comfortably while both offences kept the total climbing.

Who wins?Baltimore Ravens
Will Baltimore win by 8 or more?Baltimore Ravens -7.5
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Over 46.5
Who leads at half-time?Baltimore Ravens
Scenario 3 · 9% of voters

A Saints win built on defensive grit. New Orleans ahead at the break and holding on, the game staying tight and low-scoring throughout.

Who wins?New Orleans Saints
Will Baltimore win by 8 or more?New Orleans Saints +7.5
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Under 46.5
Who leads at half-time?New Orleans Saints
35% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 543 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Moderate).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Baltimore win by 8 or more?Will there be more than 46.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
114%78 voters
New Orleans SaintsCalled it!
New Orleans Saints +7.5Called it!
Over 46.5Got it wrong
New Orleans SaintsGot it wrong
2.4×
212%63 voters
Baltimore RavensGot it wrong
Baltimore Ravens -7.5Got it wrong
Over 46.5Got it wrong
Baltimore RavensCalled it!
2.4×
39%49 voters
New Orleans SaintsCalled it!
New Orleans Saints +7.5Called it!
Under 46.5Called it!
New Orleans SaintsGot it wrong
1.7×
48%41 voters
Baltimore RavensGot it wrong
Baltimore Ravens -7.5Got it wrong
Under 46.5Called it!
Baltimore RavensCalled it!
1.9×
55%26 voters
Baltimore RavensGot it wrong
New Orleans Saints +7.5Called it!
Over 46.5Got it wrong
Baltimore RavensCalled it!
0.8×
64%21 voters
Baltimore RavensGot it wrong
New Orleans Saints +7.5Called it!
Under 46.5Called it!
Baltimore RavensCalled it!
0.8×
74%20 voters
New Orleans SaintsCalled it!
New Orleans Saints +7.5Called it!
Under 46.5Called it!
TieGot it wrong
1.5×
83%18 voters
Baltimore RavensGot it wrong
Baltimore Ravens -7.5Got it wrong
Under 46.5Called it!
TieGot it wrong
1.6×
93%17 voters
New Orleans SaintsCalled it!
New Orleans Saints +7.5Called it!
Over 46.5Got it wrong
TieGot it wrong
1.1×
103%17 voters
New Orleans SaintsCalled it!
New Orleans Saints +7.5Called it!
Under 46.5Called it!
Baltimore RavensCalled it!
0.6×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (543 voters · top 10 of 24 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.25How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call2.4×The most-backed combination drew 2.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-7The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-7; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-16. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
4 / 417 · 3%
3 / 4121 · 22%
2 / 4227 · 42%
1 / 4150 · 28%
0 / 428 · 5%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=543). Average 1.91 / 4.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
Browse all matches