All resolved pollsNo result
América
Tijuana
This poll cannot be scored, so there is no result
VoxPop gap highlight
América vs Tijuana: how does it end?
59%Crowd
61%Market
-2Divergence

-2 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd runs above the market on Tijuana, below on the draw. The clearest divergence points.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1América vs Tijuana: how does it end?Biggest gap61%59% America-2
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed poll data
The crowd's read
Top scenario59%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters689World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1América vs Tijuana: how does it end?
America59%
Tijuana de Caliente24%
Tie18%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters689
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

América vs Tijuana: how does it end: America
Mkt 61%Crowd 59%-2pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 59% of voters

The crowd's plurality vision: América controls the contest and takes the points, a read shared by well over half of all voters.

América vs Tijuana: how does it end?America
Scenario 2 · 24% of voters

A notable minority sees Tijuana pulling off the upset, and the crowd's share here sits meaningfully above what the market prices in.

América vs Tijuana: how does it end?Tijuana de Caliente
Scenario 3 · 18% of voters

The draw is the crowd's least favoured vision, with fewer voters backing stalemate than the market implies.

América vs Tijuana: how does it end?Tie
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 689 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosAmérica vs Tijuana: how does it end?
159%404 voters
AmericaPending
1.0×
224%163 voters
Tijuana de CalientePending
1.0×
318%122 voters
TiePending
1.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (689 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.00How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.0×The most-backed combination drew 1.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-2. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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