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Bragantino
Santos
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
59%Crowd
28%Market
+31Divergence

+31 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits far above market on Santos, its strongest divergence by a wide margin.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap28%59% Santos+31
2Will both teams score?61%67% Yes+6
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?59%55% Over 2.5 goals-4
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario29%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters544World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Santos59%
Bragantino28%
Tie13%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters544
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals55%
Under 2.5 goals45%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters544
3Will both teams score?
Yes67%
No33%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters544
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Santos
Mkt 28%Crowd 59%+31pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 59%Crowd 55%-4pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 61%Crowd 67%+6pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 29% of voters

Santos take the points in an open, entertaining contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely throughout.

Match resultSantos
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 13% of voters

Santos grind out a tight, disciplined win, keeping Bragantino off the scoresheet in a low-scoring, hard-fought affair.

Match resultSantos
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 13% of voters

Bragantino turn the tables at home in a lively, end-to-end game where both teams contribute to a high goal tally.

Match resultBragantino
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
55% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 544 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
129%157 voters
SantosPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.3×
213%71 voters
SantosPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
313%69 voters
BragantinoPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
411%60 voters
SantosPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
57%40 voters
BragantinoPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.9×
66%35 voters
BragantinoPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
76%33 voters
SantosPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.6×
84%23 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
2.2×
93%19 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
103%18 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.8×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (544 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.18How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.3×The most-backed combination drew 1.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-5. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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