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Sassuolo
Lazio
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
62%Crowd
41%Market
+21Divergence

+21 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on Lazio, the widest gap across all three questions.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap41%62% Lazio+21
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?45%50% Under 2.5 goals+5
3Will both teams score?61%66% Yes+5
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario25%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters569World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Lazio62%
Sassuolo21%
Tie17%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters569
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals50%
Under 2.5 goals50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters569
3Will both teams score?
Yes66%
No34%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters569
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Lazio
Mkt 41%Crowd 62%+21pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals
Mkt 45%Crowd 50%+5pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 61%Crowd 66%+5pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 25% of voters

The crowd's most popular vision: Lazio take the points in an open, end-to-end contest where both sides get on the scoresheet.

Match resultLazio
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 19% of voters

A tight, controlled Lazio win with goals at a premium and Sassuolo kept off the board entirely. The crowd's second most coherent cluster.

Match resultLazio
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 13% of voters

Lazio win a close, low-scoring match but Sassuolo still manage a reply, keeping the game competitive despite the modest goal count.

Match resultLazio
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
57% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 569 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
125%144 voters
LazioPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
219%107 voters
LazioPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.8×
313%72 voters
LazioPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
411%60 voters
SassuoloPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.5×
57%37 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
66%35 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
75%29 voters
LazioPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.5×
85%28 voters
SassuoloPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
94%23 voters
SassuoloPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.1×
103%18 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.1×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (569 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.19How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.2×The most-backed combination drew 1.2× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-4The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-4; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-5. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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