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Villarreal
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
76%Crowd
62%Market
+14Divergence

+14 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on PSG, its single biggest divergence from the price.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap62%76% PSG+14
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?73%70% Over 2.5 goals-3
3Will both teams score?67%70% Yes+3
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario46%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters568World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
PSG76%
Villarreal19%
Tie5%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters568
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals70%
Under 2.5 goals30%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters568
3Will both teams score?
Yes70%
No30%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters568
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: PSG
Mkt 62%Crowd 76%+14pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 73%Crowd 70%-3pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 67%Crowd 70%+3pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 46% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: PSG prevail in an open, entertaining contest where both sides find the net and goals come in abundance.

Match resultPSG
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 12% of voters

A minority picture within the crowd: PSG win a goal-heavy game, but Villarreal are kept off the scoresheet throughout.

Match resultPSG
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 9% of voters

A compact, controlled scenario: PSG secure the win in a tight, low-scoring affair with Villarreal unable to get on the board.

Match resultPSG
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
67% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 568 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
146%260 voters
PSGPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
212%70 voters
PSGPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.8×
39%52 voters
PSGPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.3×
48%47 voters
PSGPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.5×
57%40 voters
VillarrealPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.8×
66%32 voters
VillarrealPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
75%26 voters
VillarrealPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
2.7×
82%13 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.9×
92%12 voters
VillarrealPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.5×
101%8 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.3×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (568 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.16How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.2×The most-backed combination drew 1.2× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-3. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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