All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Atlético Tucumán
Platense
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
53%Crowd
33%Market
+20Divergence

+20 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on Atletico Tucuman, rejecting the three-way split the price implies.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap33%53% Atletico Tucuman+20
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario53%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters561World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Atletico Tucuman53%
CA Platense28%
Tie19%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters561
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Atletico Tucuman
Mkt 33%Crowd 53%+20pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 53% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Atletico Tucuman take the match, a conviction strong enough to pull more than half the electorate into a single outcome.

Match resultAtletico Tucuman
Scenario 2 · 28% of voters

A meaningful minority sees Platense leaving with the win, holding the second position in the crowd's ordered read of how this match unfolds.

Match resultCA Platense
Scenario 3 · 19% of voters

The draw is the crowd's least favoured vision, with roughly one in five voters seeing the match ending level, well below where the market prices that possibility.

Match resultTie
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 561 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch result
153%299 voters
Atletico TucumanPending
1.0×
228%155 voters
CA PlatensePending
1.0×
319%107 voters
TiePending
1.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (561 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.00How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.0×The most-backed combination drew 1.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-2. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
Browse all matches