All resolved pollsResolved · 4 OCT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Seattle SeahawksWon · Crowd had 100%30
Los Angeles ChargersCrowd had 0%23
The verdict

The crowd backed Yes. Seattle Seahawks won 30–23.

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Chargers 6 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 44 points above the market's price on Yes, and it went the other way.

100%Crowd on Yes
56%Market price
+44Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
3 / 4questions the crowd called · 3 alongside the market
winsCrowd & market agreed
Seattle win by 7 or moreCrowd & market agreed
there be more than 42.5…Crowd & market agreed
leads at half-timeMarket beat the crowd
The crowd's read
Top scenario33%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters6World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Seattle Seahawks ✓100%
Los Angeles Chargers0%
OutcomeSeattle Seahawks
Voters6
ReadConsensus
2Will Seattle win by 7 or more?
Yes ✓100%
No0%
OutcomeYes
Voters6
ReadConsensus
3Will there be more than 42.5 points?
Over 42.5 ✓50%
Under 42.550%
OutcomeOver 42.5
Voters6
ReadConsensus
4Who leads at half-time?
Los Angeles C50%
Seattle ✓33%
Tie17%
OutcomeSeattle
Voters6
ReadMarket
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Seattle SeahawksConsensus
Mkt 76%Crowd 100%+24pp
Result: Seattle Seahawks · 0.00
: Deep
Will Seattle win by 7 or more: YesConsensus
Mkt 56%Crowd 100%+44pp
Result: Yes · 0.00
: Deep
Will there be more than 42.5 points: Over 42.5Consensus
Mkt 51%Crowd 50%-1pp
Result: Over 42.5 · 0.50
: Deep
Who leads at half-time: Los Angeles CMarket
Mkt 18%Crowd 50%+32pp
Result: Seattle · 0.73
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Who wins0.00
Will Seattle win by 7 or more0.00
Will there be more than 42.5 points0.50
Who leads at half-time0.73
Average0.31
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 33% of voters

A high-scoring Seattle romp, decided by a wide margin, with the Chargers holding a surprise lead at the break before the game turns.

Who wins?Seattle Seahawks
Will Seattle win by 7 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 42.5 points?Over 42.5
Who leads at half-time?Los Angeles C
Scenario 2 · 17% of voters · came true

Seattle dominant from the first whistle, building an early lead and pulling away in a free-scoring game that clears the total comfortably.

Who wins?Seattle Seahawks
Will Seattle win by 7 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 42.5 points?Over 42.5
Who leads at half-time?Seattle
Scenario 3 · 17% of voters

A tighter, lower-scoring affair where the Chargers shade the first half before Seattle asserts control and wins decisively in the end.

Who wins?Seattle Seahawks
Will Seattle win by 7 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 42.5 points?Under 42.5
Who leads at half-time?Los Angeles C
67% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 6 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Seattle win by 7 or more?Will there be more than 42.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
133%2 voters
Seattle SeahawksCalled it!
YesCalled it!
Over 42.5Called it!
Los Angeles CGot it wrong
1.3×
217%1 voter
Seattle SeahawksCalled it!
YesCalled it!
Over 42.5Called it!
SeattleCalled it!
1.0×
317%1 voter
Seattle SeahawksCalled it!
YesCalled it!
Under 42.5Got it wrong
Los Angeles CGot it wrong
0.7×
417%1 voter
Seattle SeahawksCalled it!
YesCalled it!
Under 42.5Got it wrong
SeattleCalled it!
1.0×
517%1 voter
Seattle SeahawksCalled it!
YesCalled it!
Under 42.5Got it wrong
TieGot it wrong
2.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (6 voters · top 5 of 5 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.17How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.3×The most-backed combination drew 1.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-4. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
4 / 41 · 17%
3 / 43 · 50%
2 / 42 · 33%
1 / 40 · 0%
0 / 40 · 0%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=6). Average 2.83 / 4.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.