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Lille OSC
Lens
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will both teams score?
69%Crowd
60%Market
+9Divergence

+9 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on both teams scoring, the widest gap across all three legs.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will both teams score?Biggest gap60%69% Yes+9
2Match result39%47% Lille+8
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?56%53% Over 2.5 goals-3
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario22%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters542World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Lille47%
Lens32%
Tie21%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters542
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals53%
Under 2.5 goals47%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters542
3Will both teams score?
Yes69%
No31%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters542
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Lille
Mkt 39%Crowd 47%+8pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 56%Crowd 53%-3pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 60%Crowd 69%+9pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 22% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Lille take the points in a free-flowing, end-to-end contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultLille
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 16% of voters

A lively upset picture: Lens overturn the crowd's favourite in a high-tempo, open game where both teams contribute to a busy scoreline.

Match resultLens
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 3 · 11% of voters

A tight, controlled Lille victory: the crowd here sees a low-scoring, one-sided affair where only one team breaks through and chances are kept scarce.

Match resultLille
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
48% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 542 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
122%118 voters
LillePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.3×
216%86 voters
LensPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
311%58 voters
LillePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.6×
410%53 voters
LillePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
58%41 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
67%40 voters
LensPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
76%35 voters
LensPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.4×
86%34 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.8×
95%28 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.7×
105%27 voters
LillePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.6×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (542 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.17How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.3×The most-backed combination drew 1.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-5The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-5; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-6. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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