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Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Who leads at half-time?
100%Crowd
28%Market
+72Divergence

+72 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd unanimous on Baltimore half-time lead, market prices them as a heavy underdog there.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who leads at half-time?Biggest gap28%100% Baltimore+72
2Who wins?49%80% Baltimore Ravens+31
3Will there be more than 50.5 points?60%80% Under 50.5+20
4Will Baltimore win by 3 or more?43%60% Yes+17
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario40%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationModeratehow much answers moved together
Voters5World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Baltimore Ravens80%
Cincinnati Bengals20%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
2Will Baltimore win by 3 or more?
Yes60%
No40%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
3Will there be more than 50.5 points?
Under 50.580%
Over 50.520%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
4Who leads at half-time?
Baltimore100%
Cincinnati0%
Tie0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Baltimore Ravens
Mkt 49%Crowd 80%+31pp
: Thin
Will Baltimore win by 3 or more: Yes
Mkt 43%Crowd 60%+17pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 50.5 points: Under 50.5
Mkt 60%Crowd 80%+20pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Baltimore
Mkt 28%Crowd 100%+72pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 40% of voters

A grinding Ravens win: Baltimore controls the half, keeps the game tight, and edges out Cincinnati without ever pulling clear by a comfortable margin.

Who wins?Baltimore Ravens
Will Baltimore win by 3 or more?No
Will there be more than 50.5 points?Under 50.5
Who leads at half-time?Baltimore
Scenario 2 · 20% of voters

Baltimore leads at the break and wins decisively, but both offenses fire in a high-scoring contest that pushes past the total.

Who wins?Baltimore Ravens
Will Baltimore win by 3 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 50.5 points?Over 50.5
Who leads at half-time?Baltimore
Scenario 3 · 20% of voters

Baltimore dominates from the front, leads at half-time, and wins by three or more in a controlled, low-scoring performance.

Who wins?Baltimore Ravens
Will Baltimore win by 3 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 50.5 points?Under 50.5
Who leads at half-time?Baltimore
80% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 5 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Moderate).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Baltimore win by 3 or more?Will there be more than 50.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
140%2 voters
Baltimore RavensPending
NoPending
Under 50.5Pending
BaltimorePending
1.6×
220%1 voter
Baltimore RavensPending
YesPending
Over 50.5Pending
BaltimorePending
2.1×
320%1 voter
Baltimore RavensPending
YesPending
Under 50.5Pending
BaltimorePending
0.5×
420%1 voter
Cincinnati BengalsPending
YesPending
Under 50.5Pending
BaltimorePending
2.1×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (5 voters · top 4 of 4 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.35How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.6×The most-backed combination drew 1.6× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-4. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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