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Atlético Madrid
Bayern Munich
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
63%Crowd
48%Market
+15Divergence

+15 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on Bayern, its single sharpest departure from the price.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap48%63% Bayern Munich+15
2Will both teams score?69%80% Yes+11
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?69%61% Over 2.5 goals-8
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario37%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters574World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Bayern Munich63%
Atletico23%
Tie14%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters574
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals61%
Under 2.5 goals39%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters574
3Will both teams score?
Yes80%
No20%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters574
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Bayern Munich
Mkt 48%Crowd 63%+15pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 69%Crowd 61%-8pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 69%Crowd 80%+11pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 37% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Bayern in control of an open, end-to-end contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultBayern Munich
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 13% of voters

A minority crowd vision: Bayern grind out the win in a tight, low-scoring affair, yet Atletico still manage to get on the scoresheet.

Match resultBayern Munich
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 3 · 12% of voters

The Atletico believers picture a lively, open game where both sides score and Madrid come out on top despite the goals flying in.

Match resultAtletico
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
62% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 574 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
137%214 voters
Bayern MunichPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
213%73 voters
Bayern MunichPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
312%69 voters
AtleticoPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
49%53 voters
Bayern MunichPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.9×
57%38 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.5×
66%35 voters
AtleticoPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.8×
75%28 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
84%22 voters
Bayern MunichPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.5×
92%14 voters
AtleticoPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.4×
102%12 voters
AtleticoPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.7×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (574 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.15How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.2×The most-backed combination drew 1.2× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-3. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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