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Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will there be more than 38.5 points?
75%Crowd
52%Market
+23Divergence

+23 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd heavily above market on the total going Over, the widest gap across all four legs.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will there be more than 38.5 points?Biggest gap52%75% Over 38.5+23
2Who wins?64%50% Pittsburgh Steelers-14
3Who leads at half-time?56%50% Pittsburgh-6
4Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?49%50% Yes+1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario50%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters4World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Pittsburgh Steelers50%
Cleveland Browns50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
2Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?
Yes50%
No50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
3Will there be more than 38.5 points?
Over 38.575%
Under 38.525%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
4Who leads at half-time?
Pittsburgh50%
Cleveland25%
Tie25%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Pittsburgh Steelers
Mkt 64%Crowd 50%-14pp
: Thin
Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more: Yes
Mkt 49%Crowd 50%+1pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 38.5 points: Over 38.5
Mkt 52%Crowd 75%+23pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Pittsburgh
Mkt 56%Crowd 50%-6pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 50% of voters

A Pittsburgh-controlled game from first whistle to last, points flowing freely, the Steelers leading at the break and pulling clear by a comfortable margin.

Who wins?Pittsburgh Steelers
Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 38.5 points?Over 38.5
Who leads at half-time?Pittsburgh
Scenario 2 · 25% of voters

Cleveland in front at half-time and holding on, a high-scoring back-and-forth affair that keeps the Browns ahead without Pittsburgh ever threatening a big winning margin.

Who wins?Cleveland Browns
Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 38.5 points?Over 38.5
Who leads at half-time?Cleveland
Scenario 3 · 25% of voters

A tight, low-scoring grind with neither side separating at the break, Cleveland edging it in the end but never by enough to let Pittsburgh cover a four-point spread.

Who wins?Cleveland Browns
Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 38.5 points?Under 38.5
Who leads at half-time?Tie
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 4 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Pittsburgh win by 4 or more?Will there be more than 38.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
150%2 voters
Pittsburgh SteelersPending
YesPending
Over 38.5Pending
PittsburghPending
5.3×
225%1 voter
Cleveland BrownsPending
NoPending
Over 38.5Pending
ClevelandPending
5.3×
325%1 voter
Cleveland BrownsPending
NoPending
Under 38.5Pending
TiePending
16.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (4 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.84How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call5.3×The most-backed combination drew 5.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-11. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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