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Rennes
Marseille
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
65%Crowd
30%Market
+35Divergence

+35 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd on Marseille sits more than double the market price.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap30%65% Marseille+35
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?38%54% Under 2.5 goals+16
3Will both teams score?64%60% Yes-4
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario25%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters632World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Marseille65%
Stade Rennais20%
Tie16%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters632
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Under 2.5 goals54%
Over 2.5 goals46%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters632
3Will both teams score?
Yes60%
No40%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters632
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Marseille
Mkt 30%Crowd 65%+35pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals
Mkt 38%Crowd 54%+16pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 64%Crowd 60%-4pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 25% of voters

The crowd's most-backed vision: Marseille winning in a lively, end-to-end contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultMarseille
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 18% of voters

A tighter, more controlled Marseille victory, shutting Rennais out and keeping the scoreline compact with goals at a premium.

Match resultMarseille
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 14% of voters

Marseille edging through in a close, low-scoring affair where both sides contribute but the game stays narrow and hard-fought throughout.

Match resultMarseille
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
57% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 632 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
125%161 voters
MarseillePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
218%113 voters
MarseillePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.3×
314%86 voters
MarseillePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
48%48 voters
MarseillePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.6×
56%41 voters
Stade RennaisPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
66%38 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
76%38 voters
Stade RennaisPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.9×
86%35 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.6×
95%32 voters
Stade RennaisPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.2×
102%14 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.5×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (632 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.16How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.4×The most-backed combination drew 1.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-4The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-4; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-6. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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