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Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Who wins?
60%Crowd
17%Market
+43Divergence

+43 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd on Tennessee to win sits massively above market price.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who wins?Biggest gap17%60% Tennessee Titans+43
2Who leads at half-time?78%60% Cincinnati-18
3Will there be more than 46.5 points?50%60% Over 46.5+10
4Will Cincinnati win by 11 or more?52%60% No+8
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario20%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters5World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Tennessee Titans60%
Cincinnati Bengals40%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
2Will Cincinnati win by 11 or more?
No60%
Yes40%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
3Will there be more than 46.5 points?
Over 46.560%
Under 46.540%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
4Who leads at half-time?
Cincinnati60%
Tie40%
Tennessee0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Tennessee Titans
Mkt 17%Crowd 60%+43pp
: Thin
Will Cincinnati win by 11 or more: No
Mkt 52%Crowd 60%+8pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 46.5 points: Over 46.5
Mkt 50%Crowd 60%+10pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Cincinnati
Mkt 78%Crowd 60%-18pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 20% of voters

A Cincinnati win, but a tight, low-scoring grind with neither side pulling clear at the break and no blowout margin in sight.

Who wins?Cincinnati Bengals
Will Cincinnati win by 11 or more?No
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Under 46.5
Who leads at half-time?Tie
Scenario 2 · 20% of voters

Cincinnati in control from the first half, points flowing freely, and a dominant winning margin that clears the spread comfortably.

Who wins?Cincinnati Bengals
Will Cincinnati win by 11 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Over 46.5
Who leads at half-time?Cincinnati
Scenario 3 · 20% of voters

Tennessee pulls off the upset in a high-scoring affair, with the halftime board level and no Cincinnati blowout materialising.

Who wins?Tennessee Titans
Will Cincinnati win by 11 or more?No
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Over 46.5
Who leads at half-time?Tie
60% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 5 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Cincinnati win by 11 or more?Will there be more than 46.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
120%1 voter
Cincinnati BengalsPending
NoPending
Under 46.5Pending
TiePending
5.2×
220%1 voter
Cincinnati BengalsPending
YesPending
Over 46.5Pending
CincinnatiPending
3.5×
320%1 voter
Tennessee TitansPending
NoPending
Over 46.5Pending
TiePending
2.3×
420%1 voter
Tennessee TitansPending
NoPending
Under 46.5Pending
CincinnatiPending
2.3×
520%1 voter
Tennessee TitansPending
YesPending
Over 46.5Pending
CincinnatiPending
2.3×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (5 voters · top 5 of 5 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.64How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call5.2×The most-backed combination drew 5.2× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-5The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-5; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-26. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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