All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Seattle Seahawks
New England Patriots
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Who wins?
57%Crowd
38%Market
+19Divergence

+19 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on a Patriots win, the widest gap across all four legs.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who wins?Biggest gap38%57% New England Patriots+19
2Who leads at half-time?36%47% New England Patriots+11
3Against the spread, who covers?54%58% New England +3.5+4
4How many total points are scored?49%53% Over 44.5+4
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario14%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationModeratehow much answers moved together
Voters505World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
New England Patriots57%
Seattle Seahawks43%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters505
2Against the spread, who covers?
New England +3.558%
Seattle -3.542%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters505
3How many total points are scored?
Over 44.553%
Under 44.547%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters505
4Who leads at half-time?
New England Patriots47%
Seattle Seahawks36%
Tie17%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters505
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: New England Patriots
Mkt 38%Crowd 57%+19pp
: Thin
Against the spread, who covers: New England +3.5
Mkt 54%Crowd 58%+4pp
: Thin
How many total points are scored: Over 44.5
Mkt 49%Crowd 53%+4pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: New England Patriots
Mkt 36%Crowd 47%+11pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 14% of voters

A Patriots-controlled, low-scoring affair: New England leads at the break, covers the spread, and the offenses stay quiet enough to keep the total under.

Who wins?New England Patriots
Against the spread, who covers?New England +3.5
How many total points are scored?Under 44.5
Who leads at half-time?New England Patriots
Scenario 2 · 14% of voters

New England in front at halftime and pulling away, covering the spread in a game with enough scoring on both sides to push the total over.

Who wins?New England Patriots
Against the spread, who covers?New England +3.5
How many total points are scored?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?New England Patriots
Scenario 3 · 9% of voters

A Seahawks-dominant vision: Seattle leads at the break, wins outright, covers a sizeable spread, and both teams combine for a high-scoring contest.

Who wins?Seattle Seahawks
Against the spread, who covers?Seattle -3.5
How many total points are scored?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Seattle Seahawks
37% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 505 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Moderate).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Against the spread, who covers?How many total points are scored?Who leads at half-time?
114%71 voters
New England PatriotsPending
New England +3.5Pending
Under 44.5Pending
New England PatriotsPending
1.9×
214%69 voters
New England PatriotsPending
New England +3.5Pending
Over 44.5Pending
New England PatriotsPending
1.7×
39%45 voters
Seattle SeahawksPending
Seattle -3.5Pending
Over 44.5Pending
Seattle SeahawksPending
2.6×
49%44 voters
Seattle SeahawksPending
Seattle -3.5Pending
Under 44.5Pending
Seattle SeahawksPending
2.9×
56%30 voters
Seattle SeahawksPending
New England +3.5Pending
Over 44.5Pending
Seattle SeahawksPending
1.2×
65%25 voters
New England PatriotsPending
Seattle -3.5Pending
Over 44.5Pending
New England PatriotsPending
0.8×
74%22 voters
New England PatriotsPending
New England +3.5Pending
Over 44.5Pending
Seattle SeahawksPending
0.7×
84%18 voters
New England PatriotsPending
Seattle -3.5Pending
Under 44.5Pending
New England PatriotsPending
0.7×
93%17 voters
New England PatriotsPending
New England +3.5Pending
Over 44.5Pending
TiePending
1.1×
103%16 voters
Seattle SeahawksPending
New England +3.5Pending
Over 44.5Pending
New England PatriotsPending
0.5×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (505 voters · top 10 of 24 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.26How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.9×The most-backed combination drew 1.9× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-7The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-7; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-14. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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