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Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
83%Crowd
45%Market
+38Divergence

+38 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd on Liverpool: far above market price, the widest gap across all three questions.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap45%83% Liverpool+38
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?60%68% Over 2.5 goals+8
3Will both teams score?64%70% Yes+6
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario45%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters546World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Liverpool83%
Brighton11%
Tie6%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters546
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals68%
Under 2.5 goals32%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters546
3Will both teams score?
Yes70%
No30%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters546
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Liverpool
Mkt 45%Crowd 83%+38pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 60%Crowd 68%+8pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 64%Crowd 70%+6pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 45% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Liverpool in control of an open, end-to-end match where both sides find the net in a free-scoring affair.

Match resultLiverpool
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 13% of voters

A secondary crowd vision: Liverpool win in a busy, goal-heavy game, but Brighton are kept out and the scoring stays one-sided.

Match resultLiverpool
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 13% of voters

A quieter Liverpool win where Brighton grab a consolation, keeping both teams on the scoresheet in a tighter, more contained contest.

Match resultLiverpool
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
71% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 546 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
145%248 voters
LiverpoolPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
213%71 voters
LiverpoolPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.8×
313%70 voters
LiverpoolPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
412%66 voters
LiverpoolPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
55%29 voters
BrightonPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.0×
62%13 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.8×
72%13 voters
BrightonPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.0×
82%11 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
91%8 voters
BrightonPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.4×
101%8 voters
BrightonPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.7×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (546 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.12How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.1×The most-backed combination drew 1.1× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-3. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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