All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Flamengo
Atlético Mineiro
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will both teams score?
73%Crowd
49%Market
+24Divergence

+24 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on both teams scoring. The widest gap in the poll.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will both teams score?Biggest gap49%73% Yes+24
2Match result74%60% Flamengo-14
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?61%56% Over 2.5 goals-5
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario34%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters562World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Flamengo60%
Atletico Mineiro30%
Tie10%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters562
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals56%
Under 2.5 goals44%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters562
3Will both teams score?
Yes73%
No27%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters562
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Flamengo
Mkt 74%Crowd 60%-14pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 61%Crowd 56%-5pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 49%Crowd 73%+24pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 34% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Flamengo take the win in a free-flowing, end-to-end contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultFlamengo
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 13% of voters

A minority but coherent read: Atletico Mineiro overturn the odds in a lively, open game where both teams get on the scoresheet.

Match resultAtletico Mineiro
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 3 · 12% of voters

A tighter Flamengo victory where both sides score but the game stays contained, goals are scarce and the margin is narrow.

Match resultFlamengo
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
58% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 562 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
134%189 voters
FlamengoPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
213%71 voters
Atletico MineiroPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.0×
312%66 voters
FlamengoPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
411%63 voters
FlamengoPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.6×
58%45 voters
Atletico MineiroPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.8×
67%38 voters
Atletico MineiroPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.9×
75%26 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
83%19 voters
FlamengoPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.4×
92%14 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
102%13 voters
Atletico MineiroPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.5×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (562 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.19How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.4×The most-backed combination drew 1.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-4. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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