All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
76%Crowd
47%Market
+29Divergence

+29 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits heavily above the market on a United win.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap47%76% Manchester United+29
2Will both teams score?63%69% Yes+6
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?60%63% Over 2.5 goals+3
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario40%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters551World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Manchester United76%
Bournemouth14%
Tie10%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters551
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals63%
Under 2.5 goals37%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters551
3Will both teams score?
Yes69%
No31%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters551
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Manchester United
Mkt 47%Crowd 76%+29pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 60%Crowd 63%+3pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 63%Crowd 69%+6pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 40% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: United take the points in an open, entertaining game where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultManchester United
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 13% of voters

A tighter United win, but Bournemouth still get on the scoresheet in a compact, low-volume contest that stays under the goals line.

Match resultManchester United
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 3 · 13% of voters

United shut the door completely: a disciplined, low-scoring win with Bournemouth kept off the board and the game staying well under the goals line.

Match resultManchester United
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
66% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 551 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
140%218 voters
Manchester UnitedPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
213%73 voters
Manchester UnitedPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
313%70 voters
Manchester UnitedPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
411%59 voters
Manchester UnitedPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.7×
57%36 voters
BournemouthPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
64%23 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.6×
73%18 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.8×
83%14 voters
BournemouthPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.6×
92%13 voters
BournemouthPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.9×
102%12 voters
BournemouthPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (551 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.14How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.2×The most-backed combination drew 1.2× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-3. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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