All resolved pollsResolved · 20 SEPT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Tennessee TitansCrowd had 41%20
Philadelphia EaglesWon · Crowd had 59%24
The verdict

The crowd called it — Philadelphia Eagles won 20–24.

Tennessee Titans vs Philadelphia Eagles 560 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 18 points below the market's price on Philadelphia Eagles, and the crowd had it.

45%Crowd on Philadelphia Eagles
63%Market price
-18Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
3 / 4questions the crowd called · 3 alongside the market
winsCrowd & market agreed
Philadelphia win by 8…Market beat the crowd
there be more than 39.5…Crowd & market agreed
leads at half-timeCrowd & market agreed
The crowd's read
Top scenario17%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationModeratehow much answers moved together
Voters560World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Philadelphia Eagles ✓59%
Tennessee Titans41%
OutcomePhiladelphia Eagles
Voters560
ReadConsensus
2Will Philadelphia win by 8 or more?
Philadelphia Eagles -7.554%
Tennessee Titans +7.5 ✓46%
OutcomeTennessee Titans +7.5
Voters560
ReadMarket
3Will there be more than 39.5 points?
Over 39.5 ✓57%
Under 39.543%
OutcomeOver 39.5
Voters560
ReadConsensus
4Who leads at half-time?
Philadelphia Eagles ✓45%
Tennessee Titans36%
Tie19%
OutcomePhiladelphia Eagles
Voters560
ReadConsensus
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Philadelphia EaglesConsensus
Mkt 76%Crowd 59%-17pp
Result: Philadelphia Eagles · 0.34
: Deep
Will Philadelphia win by 8 or more: Philadelphia Eagles -7.5Market
Mkt 48%Crowd 54%+6pp
Result: Tennessee Titans +7.5 · 0.58
: Deep
Will there be more than 39.5 points: Over 39.5Consensus
Mkt 51%Crowd 57%+6pp
Result: Over 39.5 · 0.37
: Deep
Who leads at half-time: Philadelphia EaglesConsensus
Mkt 63%Crowd 45%-18pp
Result: Philadelphia Eagles · 0.47
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Who wins0.34
Will Philadelphia win by 8 or more0.58
Will there be more than 39.5 points0.37
Who leads at half-time0.47
Average0.44
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 17% of voters

Eagles in control from the first whistle, pulling clear by more than a touchdown in a high-scoring game they dominate wire to wire.

Who wins?Philadelphia Eagles
Will Philadelphia win by 8 or more?Philadelphia Eagles -7.5
Will there be more than 39.5 points?Over 39.5
Who leads at half-time?Philadelphia Eagles
Scenario 2 · 11% of voters

Titans keep it close and competitive throughout, staying within the spread in a free-scoring game they lead at the half.

Who wins?Tennessee Titans
Will Philadelphia win by 8 or more?Tennessee Titans +7.5
Will there be more than 39.5 points?Over 39.5
Who leads at half-time?Tennessee Titans
Scenario 3 · 10% of voters

Eagles grind out a disciplined, defence-shaped win, covering the spread in a low-scoring game they lead from the interval onward.

Who wins?Philadelphia Eagles
Will Philadelphia win by 8 or more?Philadelphia Eagles -7.5
Will there be more than 39.5 points?Under 39.5
Who leads at half-time?Philadelphia Eagles
38% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 560 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Moderate).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Philadelphia win by 8 or more?Will there be more than 39.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
117%95 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Philadelphia Eagles -7.5Got it wrong
Over 39.5Called it!
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
2.1×
211%61 voters
Tennessee TitansGot it wrong
Tennessee Titans +7.5Called it!
Over 39.5Called it!
Tennessee TitansGot it wrong
2.8×
310%57 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Philadelphia Eagles -7.5Got it wrong
Under 39.5Got it wrong
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
1.7×
47%37 voters
Tennessee TitansGot it wrong
Tennessee Titans +7.5Called it!
Under 39.5Got it wrong
Tennessee TitansGot it wrong
2.3×
54%24 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Tennessee Titans +7.5Called it!
Over 39.5Called it!
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
0.6×
64%22 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Tennessee Titans +7.5Called it!
Over 39.5Called it!
Tennessee TitansGot it wrong
0.7×
74%21 voters
Tennessee TitansGot it wrong
Philadelphia Eagles -7.5Got it wrong
Over 39.5Called it!
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
0.7×
84%20 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Philadelphia Eagles -7.5Got it wrong
Under 39.5Got it wrong
Tennessee TitansGot it wrong
0.7×
94%20 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Philadelphia Eagles -7.5Got it wrong
Over 39.5Called it!
Tennessee TitansGot it wrong
0.5×
103%19 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Philadelphia Eagles -7.5Got it wrong
Over 39.5Called it!
TieGot it wrong
1.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (560 voters · top 10 of 24 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.26How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call2.1×The most-backed combination drew 2.1× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-6The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-6; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-12. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
4 / 424 · 4%
3 / 4160 · 29%
2 / 4234 · 42%
1 / 4118 · 21%
0 / 424 · 4%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=560). Average 2.08 / 4.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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