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América
Tijuana
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will both teams score?
66%Crowd
57%Market
+9Divergence

+9 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on both teams scoring. The clearest divergence in this poll.

40m 55sof alpha left before kick-off
QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will both teams score?Biggest gap57%66% Yes+9
2Match result63%62% America-1
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?50%51% Over 2.5 goals+1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario30%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters569World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
America62%
Tijuana23%
Tie15%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters569
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals51%
Under 2.5 goals49%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters569
3Will both teams score?
Yes66%
No34%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters569
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: America
Mkt 63%Crowd 62%-1pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 50%Crowd 51%+1pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 57%Crowd 66%+9pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 30% of voters

América takes the points in an open, end-to-end contest where both sides get on the scoresheet and goals come in volume.

Match resultAmerica
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 15% of voters

América grinds out a tight, low-scoring win, keeping Tijuana off the board in a compact, disciplined match.

Match resultAmerica
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 12% of voters

América edges a close, cagey affair where both teams score but the game stays short on goals overall.

Match resultAmerica
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
58% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 569 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
130%171 voters
AmericaPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
215%87 voters
AmericaPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
312%70 voters
AmericaPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
49%50 voters
TijuanaPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
56%35 voters
TijuanaPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.6×
66%34 voters
TijuanaPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.8×
75%28 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.0×
84%25 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.9×
94%24 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.7×
104%24 voters
AmericaPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.4×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (569 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.19How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.4×The most-backed combination drew 1.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-5. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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