All resolved pollsAwaiting result
River Plate
Racing Club
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
65%Crowd
66%Market
-1Divergence

-1 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd runs well above the market on Racing Club, well below on Tie.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap66%65% CA River Plate-1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario65%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters549World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
CA River Plate65%
Racing Club23%
Tie12%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters549
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: CA River Plate
Mkt 66%Crowd 65%-1pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 65% of voters

The dominant crowd vision: River Plate control the contest on home terms, drawing the clear majority of voters into a single, confident collective call.

Match resultCA River Plate
Scenario 2 · 23% of voters

A meaningful minority see Racing Club turning the match, a share that sits well above what the market assigns to that outcome.

Match resultRacing Club
Scenario 3 · 12% of voters

The smallest crowd camp envisions the sides cancelling each other out, a scenario the crowd rates well below the market's own assessment.

Match resultTie
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 549 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch result
165%357 voters
CA River PlatePending
1.0×
223%128 voters
Racing ClubPending
1.0×
312%64 voters
TiePending
1.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (549 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.00How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.0×The most-backed combination drew 1.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-2. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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