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Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will Seattle win by 4 or more?
80%Crowd
47%Market
+33Divergence

+33 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits far above market on Seattle covering a margin win.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will Seattle win by 4 or more?Biggest gap47%80% Yes+33
2Will there be more than 46.5 points?51%80% Under 46.5+29
3Who wins?61%80% Seattle Seahawks+19
4Who leads at half-time?55%60% Seattle+5
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario40%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters5World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Seattle Seahawks80%
Chicago Bears20%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
2Will Seattle win by 4 or more?
Yes80%
No20%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
3Will there be more than 46.5 points?
Under 46.580%
Over 46.520%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
4Who leads at half-time?
Seattle60%
Chicago20%
Tie20%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Seattle Seahawks
Mkt 61%Crowd 80%+19pp
: Thin
Will Seattle win by 4 or more: Yes
Mkt 47%Crowd 80%+33pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 46.5 points: Under 46.5
Mkt 51%Crowd 80%+29pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Seattle
Mkt 55%Crowd 60%+5pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 40% of voters

A controlled Seattle performance: leading at the break, pulling clear by multiple scores, and both offenses kept well in check throughout.

Who wins?Seattle Seahawks
Will Seattle win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Under 46.5
Who leads at half-time?Seattle
Scenario 2 · 20% of voters

Seattle leads at half but Chicago claws back in a grinding, low-scoring contest that ends with the Bears taking a narrow upset win.

Who wins?Chicago Bears
Will Seattle win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Under 46.5
Who leads at half-time?Seattle
Scenario 3 · 20% of voters

A wide-open, high-scoring affair that is level at the break before Seattle pulls away decisively in the second half.

Who wins?Seattle Seahawks
Will Seattle win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Over 46.5
Who leads at half-time?Tie
80% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 5 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Seattle win by 4 or more?Will there be more than 46.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
140%2 voters
Seattle SeahawksPending
YesPending
Under 46.5Pending
SeattlePending
1.3×
220%1 voter
Chicago BearsPending
NoPending
Under 46.5Pending
SeattlePending
10.4×
320%1 voter
Seattle SeahawksPending
YesPending
Over 46.5Pending
TiePending
7.8×
420%1 voter
Seattle SeahawksPending
YesPending
Under 46.5Pending
ChicagoPending
2.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (5 voters · top 4 of 4 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.55How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.3×The most-backed combination drew 1.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-3. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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