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Barcelona
Aston Villa
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will both teams score?
73%Crowd
63%Market
+10Divergence

+10 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above the market on both teams scoring, the widest gap on the board.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will both teams score?Biggest gap63%73% Yes+10
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?79%74% Over 2.5 goals-5
3Match result78%82% Barcelona+4
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario53%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters584World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Barcelona82%
Aston Villa12%
Tie6%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters584
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals74%
Under 2.5 goals26%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters584
3Will both teams score?
Yes73%
No27%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters584
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Barcelona
Mkt 78%Crowd 82%+4pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 79%Crowd 74%-5pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 63%Crowd 73%+10pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 53% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Barcelona winning an open, end-to-end contest with both sides finding the net in a goal-filled match.

Match resultBarcelona
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 12% of voters

A minority picture of Barcelona winning a free-scoring game but keeping a clean sheet, goals flowing in one direction only.

Match resultBarcelona
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 9% of voters

A tight Barcelona victory where both teams score but the match stays low on goals, a compact and closely contested affair.

Match resultBarcelona
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
74% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 584 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
153%307 voters
BarcelonaPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
212%71 voters
BarcelonaPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.7×
39%55 voters
BarcelonaPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
48%44 voters
BarcelonaPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.3×
54%23 voters
Aston VillaPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.7×
64%21 voters
Aston VillaPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
73%17 voters
Aston VillaPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
3.5×
82%14 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
92%11 voters
Aston VillaPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.8×
102%9 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (584 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.15How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.2×The most-backed combination drew 1.2× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-2. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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