All resolved pollsResolved · 13 SEPT 2026Crowd & market agreed
Philadelphia EaglesWon · Crowd had 61%24
Washington CommandersCrowd had 39%22
The verdict

The crowd called it — Philadelphia Eagles won 24–22.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders 555 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 12 points below the market's price on Philadelphia Eagles, and the crowd had it.

47%Crowd on Philadelphia Eagles
59%Market price
-12Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
3 / 4questions the crowd called · 2 alongside the market
winsCrowd & market agreed
Against the spread, who…Market beat the crowd
total points are scoredCrowd beat the market
leads at half-timeCrowd & market agreed
The crowd's read
Top scenario17%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationModeratehow much answers moved together
Voters555World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Philadelphia Eagles ✓61%
Washington Commanders39%
OutcomePhiladelphia Eagles
Voters555
ReadConsensus
2Against the spread, who covers?
Philadelphia Eagles -5.555%
Washington Commanders +5.5 ✓45%
OutcomeWashington Commanders +5.5
Voters555
ReadMarket
3How many total points are scored?
Over 44.5 ✓55%
Under 44.545%
OutcomeOver 44.5
Voters555
ReadCrowd
4Who leads at half-time?
Philadelphia Eagles ✓47%
Washington Commanders37%
Tie16%
OutcomePhiladelphia Eagles
Voters555
ReadConsensus
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Philadelphia EaglesConsensus
Mkt 68%Crowd 61%-7pp
Result: Philadelphia Eagles · 0.30
: Deep
Against the spread, who covers: Philadelphia Eagles -5.5Market
Mkt 50%Crowd 55%+5pp
Result: Washington Commanders +5.5 · 0.61
: Deep
How many total points are scored: Over 44.5Crowd
Mkt 48%Crowd 55%+7pp
Result: Over 44.5 · 0.40
: Deep
Who leads at half-time: Philadelphia EaglesConsensus
Mkt 59%Crowd 47%-12pp
Result: Philadelphia Eagles · 0.44
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Who wins0.30
Against the spread, who covers0.61
How many total points are scored0.40
Who leads at half-time0.44
Average0.44
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 17% of voters

Eagles in command from the first half, pulling away to cover a big spread in a high-scoring, open game that rewards the favourite's firepower.

Who wins?Philadelphia Eagles
Against the spread, who covers?Philadelphia Eagles -5.5
How many total points are scored?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Philadelphia Eagles
Scenario 2 · 13% of voters

Eagles dominant and efficient, leading at the break and grinding out a disciplined, lower-scoring win that still clears the spread comfortably.

Who wins?Philadelphia Eagles
Against the spread, who covers?Philadelphia Eagles -5.5
How many total points are scored?Under 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Philadelphia Eagles
Scenario 3 · 12% of voters

Commanders seize the initiative early, lead at half in a high-scoring shootout, and hold on to pull off the upset against the spread.

Who wins?Washington Commanders
Against the spread, who covers?Washington Commanders +5.5
How many total points are scored?Over 44.5
Who leads at half-time?Washington Commanders
42% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 555 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Moderate).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Against the spread, who covers?How many total points are scored?Who leads at half-time?
117%94 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Philadelphia Eagles -5.5Got it wrong
Over 44.5Called it!
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
2.0×
213%74 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Philadelphia Eagles -5.5Got it wrong
Under 44.5Got it wrong
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
1.9×
312%64 voters
Washington CommandersGot it wrong
Washington Commanders +5.5Called it!
Over 44.5Called it!
Washington CommandersGot it wrong
3.2×
47%37 voters
Washington CommandersGot it wrong
Washington Commanders +5.5Called it!
Under 44.5Got it wrong
Washington CommandersGot it wrong
2.3×
55%26 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Philadelphia Eagles -5.5Got it wrong
Under 44.5Got it wrong
Washington CommandersGot it wrong
0.8×
65%25 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Washington Commanders +5.5Called it!
Over 44.5Called it!
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
0.6×
74%20 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Washington Commanders +5.5Called it!
Under 44.5Got it wrong
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
0.6×
83%18 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Washington Commanders +5.5Called it!
Under 44.5Got it wrong
Washington CommandersGot it wrong
0.7×
93%18 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Washington Commanders +5.5Called it!
Over 44.5Called it!
Washington CommandersGot it wrong
0.6×
103%17 voters
Philadelphia EaglesCalled it!
Washington Commanders +5.5Called it!
Over 44.5Called it!
TieGot it wrong
1.3×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (555 voters · top 10 of 24 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.29How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call2.0×The most-backed combination drew 2.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-6The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-6; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-12. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
4 / 425 · 5%
3 / 4162 · 29%
2 / 4222 · 40%
1 / 4123 · 22%
0 / 423 · 4%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=555). Average 2.08 / 4.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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