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Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
43%Crowd
27%Market
+16Divergence

+16 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits sharply above market on Forest, its single biggest divergence from the price.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap27%43% Nottingham Forest+16
2Will both teams score?58%71% Yes+13
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?55%55% Over 2.5 goals0
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario23%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters520World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Nottingham Forest43%
Brentford38%
Tie19%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters520
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals55%
Under 2.5 goals45%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters520
3Will both teams score?
Yes71%
No29%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters520
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Nottingham Forest
Mkt 27%Crowd 43%+16pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 55%Crowd 55%0pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 58%Crowd 71%+13pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 23% of voters

Forest take the points in an open, end-to-end contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely throughout.

Match resultNottingham Forest
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 18% of voters

Brentford claim the win in a lively, high-tempo affair with both teams contributing to a goal-filled scoreline.

Match resultBrentford
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 3 · 9% of voters

Forest grind out a tight, controlled victory, keeping Brentford off the scoresheet in a compact, low-scoring contest.

Match resultNottingham Forest
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
50% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 520 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
123%122 voters
Nottingham ForestPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
218%94 voters
BrentfordPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
39%45 voters
Nottingham ForestPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
49%45 voters
BrentfordPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
58%44 voters
BrentfordPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.7×
68%42 voters
Nottingham ForestPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
78%40 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.3×
85%28 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
94%19 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
103%16 voters
BrentfordPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.5×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (520 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.19How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.4×The most-backed combination drew 1.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-4The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-4; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-6. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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