All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Universidad de Chile
Everton de Viña del Mar
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
51%Crowd
60%Market
-9Divergence

-9 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd underweights Universidad de Chile and overweights Everton relative to the market.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap60%51% CF Universidad de Chile-9
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario51%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters550World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
CF Universidad de Chile51%
Everton de Viña del Mar34%
Tie15%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters550
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: CF Universidad de Chile
Mkt 60%Crowd 51%-9pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 51% of voters

The crowd's plurality vision: the home side prevails, though the crowd holds this view with noticeably less conviction than the betting market does.

Match resultCF Universidad de Chile
Scenario 2 · 34% of voters

A striking crowd lean: Everton as winners, backed by roughly a third of voters, far outpacing what the market considers a likely outcome.

Match resultEverton de Viña del Mar
Scenario 3 · 15% of voters

The smallest crowd cluster sees neither side separated at the final whistle, a scenario the crowd and market both treat as the least likely of the three.

Match resultTie
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 550 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch result
151%283 voters
CF Universidad de ChilePending
1.0×
234%186 voters
Everton de Viña del MarPending
1.0×
315%81 voters
TiePending
1.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (550 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.00How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.0×The most-backed combination drew 1.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-2. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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