All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Bournemouth
Leeds United
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will both teams score?
68%Crowd
56%Market
+12Divergence

+12 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above the market on both teams scoring, the widest gap across all three legs.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will both teams score?Biggest gap56%68% Yes+12
2Match result45%46% Bournemouth+1
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?51%52% Over 2.5 goals+1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario26%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters524World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Bournemouth46%
Leeds United35%
Tie19%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters524
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals52%
Under 2.5 goals48%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters524
3Will both teams score?
Yes68%
No32%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters524
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Bournemouth
Mkt 45%Crowd 46%+1pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 51%Crowd 52%+1pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 56%Crowd 68%+12pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 26% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: a Bournemouth victory in an open, end-to-end contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultBournemouth
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 14% of voters

A sizeable pocket sees Leeds taking the points in a lively, high-tempo match where both teams contribute to a goal-filled scoreline.

Match resultLeeds United
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 3 · 11% of voters

The most structurally concentrated vision: Leeds grinding out a tight, disciplined win in a low-scoring game that stays one-sided throughout.

Match resultLeeds United
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
51% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 524 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
126%134 voters
BournemouthPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.6×
214%73 voters
Leeds UnitedPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
311%60 voters
Leeds UnitedPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
2.1×
49%46 voters
BournemouthPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
58%41 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.3×
68%41 voters
BournemouthPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.1×
78%41 voters
Leeds UnitedPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.7×
84%23 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
94%22 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
104%21 voters
BournemouthPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.5×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (524 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.21How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.6×The most-backed combination drew 1.6× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-4The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-4; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-6. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
Browse all matches