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Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Rams
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will there be more than 47.5 points?
75%Crowd
51%Market
+24Divergence

+24 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on Over 47.5, and splits the winner where the market strongly favours the Rams.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will there be more than 47.5 points?Biggest gap51%75% Over 47.5+24
2Will Los Angeles win by 4 or more?52%75% Yes+23
3Who wins?35%50% Las Vegas Raiders+15
4Who leads at half-time?60%75% Los Angeles R+15
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario50%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters4World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Las Vegas Raiders50%
Los Angeles Rams50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
2Will Los Angeles win by 4 or more?
Yes75%
No25%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
3Will there be more than 47.5 points?
Over 47.575%
Under 47.525%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
4Who leads at half-time?
Los Angeles R75%
Las Vegas25%
Tie0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Las Vegas Raiders
Mkt 35%Crowd 50%+15pp
: Thin
Will Los Angeles win by 4 or more: Yes
Mkt 52%Crowd 75%+23pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 47.5 points: Over 47.5
Mkt 51%Crowd 75%+24pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Los Angeles R
Mkt 60%Crowd 75%+15pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 50% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: a Rams-controlled game from the first whistle, a comfortable winning margin, and a high-scoring shootout that clears the total.

Who wins?Los Angeles Rams
Will Los Angeles win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 47.5 points?Over 47.5
Who leads at half-time?Los Angeles R
Scenario 2 · 25% of voters

A tight, grinding Raiders upset: Las Vegas leads at the break, keeps the scoring low, and holds on for a win that defies the spread.

Who wins?Las Vegas Raiders
Will Los Angeles win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 47.5 points?Under 47.5
Who leads at half-time?Las Vegas
Scenario 3 · 25% of voters

The paradox scenario: the Rams lead at half and the points flood in, yet the Raiders rally to take the final result despite the Rams covering the spread question.

Who wins?Las Vegas Raiders
Will Los Angeles win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 47.5 points?Over 47.5
Who leads at half-time?Los Angeles R
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 4 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Los Angeles win by 4 or more?Will there be more than 47.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
150%2 voters
Los Angeles RamsPending
YesPending
Over 47.5Pending
Los Angeles RPending
2.4×
225%1 voter
Las Vegas RaidersPending
NoPending
Under 47.5Pending
Las VegasPending
32.0×
325%1 voter
Las Vegas RaidersPending
YesPending
Over 47.5Pending
Los Angeles RPending
1.2×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (4 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.57How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call2.4×The most-backed combination drew 2.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-5. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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