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Colombia: call three DIMAYOR results
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VoxPop gap highlight
Junior vs Pereira: what is the result?
47%Crowd
74%Market
-27Divergence

-27 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd fades Junior sharply, Pereira gets far more collective weight than the market allows.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Junior vs Pereira: what is the result?Biggest gap74%47% Junior-27
2Aguilas Doradas Rionegro vs Llaneros: what is the result?48%64% Aguilas Doradas Rionegro+16
3Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios: what is the result?37%45% Ind. Medellin+8
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario16%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters276World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Aguilas Doradas Rionegro vs Llaneros: what is the result?
Aguilas Doradas Rionegro64%
Llaneros28%
Tie8%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters276
2Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios: what is the result?
Ind. Medellin45%
Millonarios39%
Tie16%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters276
3Junior vs Pereira: what is the result?
Junior47%
Pereira35%
Tie18%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters276
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Aguilas Doradas Rionegro vs Llaneros: what is the result: Aguilas Doradas Rionegro
Mkt 48%Crowd 64%+16pp
: Thin
Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios: what is the result: Ind. Medellin
Mkt 37%Crowd 45%+8pp
: Thin
Junior vs Pereira: what is the result: Junior
Mkt 74%Crowd 47%-27pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 16% of voters

The crowd's modal vision: Aguilas Doradas dominant at home, Medellin edging their city rival, and Junior holding on against Pereira.

Aguilas Doradas Rionegro vs Llaneros: what is the result?Aguilas Doradas Rionegro
Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios: what is the result?Ind. Medellin
Junior vs Pereira: what is the result?Junior
Scenario 2 · 12% of voters

A split read on Leg 2 surfaces here: Aguilas Doradas still win, but the crowd hands Millonarios the upset over Medellin, with Junior still coming through.

Aguilas Doradas Rionegro vs Llaneros: what is the result?Aguilas Doradas Rionegro
Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios: what is the result?Millonarios
Junior vs Pereira: what is the result?Junior
Scenario 3 · 10% of voters

The crowd's most contrarian thread: Aguilas and Medellin both advance, but Pereira pulls off the result the market barely prices.

Aguilas Doradas Rionegro vs Llaneros: what is the result?Aguilas Doradas Rionegro
Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios: what is the result?Ind. Medellin
Junior vs Pereira: what is the result?Pereira
38% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 276 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosAguilas Doradas Rionegro vs Llaneros: what is the result?Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios: what is the result?Junior vs Pereira: what is the result?
116%45 voters
Aguilas Doradas RionegroPending
Ind. MedellinPending
JuniorPending
1.2×
212%33 voters
Aguilas Doradas RionegroPending
MillonariosPending
JuniorPending
1.0×
310%27 voters
Aguilas Doradas RionegroPending
Ind. MedellinPending
PereiraPending
1.0×
49%25 voters
Aguilas Doradas RionegroPending
MillonariosPending
PereiraPending
1.0×
56%16 voters
LlanerosPending
MillonariosPending
PereiraPending
1.5×
66%16 voters
LlanerosPending
Ind. MedellinPending
PereiraPending
1.3×
76%16 voters
LlanerosPending
MillonariosPending
JuniorPending
1.1×
85%14 voters
Aguilas Doradas RionegroPending
TiePending
JuniorPending
1.1×
95%13 voters
LlanerosPending
Ind. MedellinPending
JuniorPending
0.8×
104%11 voters
Aguilas Doradas RionegroPending
Ind. MedellinPending
TiePending
0.8×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (276 voters · top 10 of 26 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.11How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.2×The most-backed combination drew 1.2× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-6The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-6; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-7. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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