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Le Havre
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
81%Crowd
79%Market
+2Divergence

+2 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd above market on PSG, with a high-scoring both-teams-score vision dominating the joint read.

34m 41sof alpha left before kick-off
QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap79%81% PSG+2
2Will both teams score?55%57% Yes+2
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?73%74% Over 2.5 goals+1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario39%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters547World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
PSG81%
Le Havre12%
Tie8%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters547
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals74%
Under 2.5 goals26%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters547
3Will both teams score?
Yes57%
No43%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters547
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: PSG
Mkt 79%Crowd 81%+2pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 73%Crowd 74%+1pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 55%Crowd 57%+2pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 39% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: PSG take the points in an open, end-to-end contest where Le Havre also find the net in a lively, goal-filled match.

Match resultPSG
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 28% of voters

A sizeable slice of the crowd sees PSG winning with plenty of goals but keeping Le Havre off the scoresheet in a one-sided attacking display.

Match resultPSG
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
Scenario 3 · 7% of voters

A minority vision: PSG grind out a controlled, low-key win, with Le Havre shut out and the match staying tight and contained throughout.

Match resultPSG
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
74% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 547 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
139%214 voters
PSGPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.1×
228%152 voters
PSGPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.1×
37%41 voters
PSGPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.8×
46%34 voters
PSGPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.5×
54%21 voters
Le HavrePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
2.2×
63%18 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
2.8×
73%17 voters
Le HavrePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
83%15 voters
Le HavrePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
2.0×
92%11 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
2.2×
102%11 voters
Le HavrePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.5×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (547 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.14How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.1×The most-backed combination drew 1.1× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-3. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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