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Atlanta Falcons
San Francisco 49ers
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Will San Francisco win by 4 or more?
75%Crowd
43%Market
+32Divergence

+32 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits far above market on San Francisco covering the margin, the widest gap across all four legs.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Will San Francisco win by 4 or more?Biggest gap43%75% Yes+32
2Who leads at half-time?50%75% San Francisco+25
3Who wins?59%75% San Francisco 49ers+16
4Will there be more than 49.5 points?52%50% Over 49.5-2
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario50%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters4World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
San Francisco 49ers75%
Atlanta Falcons25%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
2Will San Francisco win by 4 or more?
Yes75%
No25%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
3Will there be more than 49.5 points?
Over 49.550%
Under 49.550%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
4Who leads at half-time?
San Francisco75%
Atlanta25%
Tie0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: San Francisco 49ers
Mkt 59%Crowd 75%+16pp
: Thin
Will San Francisco win by 4 or more: Yes
Mkt 43%Crowd 75%+32pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 49.5 points: Over 49.5
Mkt 52%Crowd 50%-2pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: San Francisco
Mkt 50%Crowd 75%+25pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 50% of voters

A high-scoring, front-running San Francisco performance: the 49ers lead at the break, pull clear by a wide margin, and both offences combine for a big total.

Who wins?San Francisco 49ers
Will San Francisco win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 49.5 points?Over 49.5
Who leads at half-time?San Francisco
Scenario 2 · 25% of voters

A tight, low-scoring contest where San Francisco leads at half but Atlanta claws back enough to deny a big margin, with defences keeping the total down.

Who wins?Atlanta Falcons
Will San Francisco win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 49.5 points?Under 49.5
Who leads at half-time?San Francisco
Scenario 3 · 25% of voters

Atlanta sets the early pace and leads at the break, but San Francisco turns it around and pulls away by a wide margin in a game that stays under the total.

Who wins?San Francisco 49ers
Will San Francisco win by 4 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 49.5 points?Under 49.5
Who leads at half-time?Atlanta
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 4 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will San Francisco win by 4 or more?Will there be more than 49.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
150%2 voters
San Francisco 49ersPending
YesPending
Over 49.5Pending
San FranciscoPending
2.4×
225%1 voter
Atlanta FalconsPending
NoPending
Under 49.5Pending
San FranciscoPending
10.7×
325%1 voter
San Francisco 49ersPending
YesPending
Under 49.5Pending
AtlantaPending
3.6×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (4 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.70How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call2.4×The most-backed combination drew 2.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-5. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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