All resolved pollsResolved · 22 AUG 2026Market beat the crowd
BrentfordWon · Crowd had 27%3
Tottenham Hotspur0
The verdict

The crowd backed Tottenham. Brentford won 3–0.

Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur: three calls on one match 631 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 23 points above the market's price on Tottenham, and it went the other way.

60%Crowd on Tottenham
37%Market price
+23Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
1 / 3questions the crowd called · 1 alongside the market · 1 surprise
Brentford vs Tottenham…Market beat the crowd
there be three goals or…Crowd & market agreed
both sides find the netSurprise
The crowd's read
Top scenario28%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters631World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur: what is the result?
Tottenham60%
Brentford ✓27%
Tie13%
OutcomeBrentford
Voters631
ReadMarket
2Will there be three goals or more?
Over 2.5 ✓57%
Under 2.543%
OutcomeOver 2.5
Voters631
ReadConsensus
3Do both sides find the net?
Yes66%
No ✓34%
OutcomeNo
Voters631
ReadUpset
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur: what is the result: TottenhamMarket
Mkt 37%Crowd 60%+23pp
Result: Brentford · 0.91
: Deep
Will there be three goals or more: Over 2.5Consensus
Mkt 57%Crowd 57%0pp
Result: Over 2.5 · 0.37
: Deep
Do both sides find the net: YesUpset
Mkt 61%Crowd 66%+5pp
Result: No · 0.87
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur: what is the result0.91
Will there be three goals or more0.37
Do both sides find the net0.87
Average0.72
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 28% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Tottenham winning a free-scoring, end-to-end match with both keepers beaten and the goal tally clearing the line.

Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur: what is the result?Tottenham
Will there be three goals or more?Over 2.5
Do both sides find the net?Yes
Scenario 2 · 12% of voters

A tight, controlled Tottenham victory. Few goals, one side shut out, the match decided by a narrow margin in a low-tempo contest.

Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur: what is the result?Tottenham
Will there be three goals or more?Under 2.5
Do both sides find the net?No
Scenario 3 · 11% of voters

Tottenham edging it in a compact game where both sides scored but the action stayed contained and the total stayed low.

Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur: what is the result?Tottenham
Will there be three goals or more?Under 2.5
Do both sides find the net?Yes
51% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 631 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosBrentford vs Tottenham Hotspur: what is the result?Will there be three goals or more?Do both sides find the net?
128%179 voters
TottenhamGot it wrong
Over 2.5Called it!
YesGot it wrong
1.3×
212%77 voters
TottenhamGot it wrong
Under 2.5Got it wrong
NoCalled it!
1.4×
311%68 voters
TottenhamGot it wrong
Under 2.5Got it wrong
YesGot it wrong
0.6×
411%67 voters
BrentfordCalled it!
Over 2.5Called it!
YesGot it wrong
1.0×
58%53 voters
TottenhamGot it wrong
Over 2.5Called it!
NoCalled it!
0.7×
67%42 voters
BrentfordCalled it!
Under 2.5Got it wrong
YesGot it wrong
0.9×
77%42 voters
BrentfordCalled it!
Under 2.5Got it wrong
NoCalled it!
1.7×
85%32 voters
TieGot it wrong
Under 2.5Got it wrong
YesGot it wrong
1.4×
94%26 voters
TieGot it wrong
Over 2.5Called it!
YesGot it wrong
0.8×
103%19 voters
BrentfordCalled it!
Over 2.5Called it!
NoCalled it!
0.6×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (631 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.14How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.3×The most-backed combination drew 1.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-4The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-4; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-4. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
3 / 319 · 3%
2 / 3175 · 28%
1 / 3337 · 53%
0 / 3100 · 16%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=631). Average 1.18 / 3.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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