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Newcastle United
Everton
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
54%Crowd
42%Market
+12Divergence

+12 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on Newcastle, and piles into both teams scoring.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap42%54% Newcastle+12
2Will both teams score?60%72% Yes+12
3Will there be more than 2.5 goals?56%57% Over 2.5 goals+1
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario29%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters547World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Newcastle54%
Everton32%
Tie14%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters547
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals57%
Under 2.5 goals43%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters547
3Will both teams score?
Yes72%
No28%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters547
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: Newcastle
Mkt 42%Crowd 54%+12pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
Mkt 56%Crowd 57%+1pp
: Thin
Will both teams score: Yes
Mkt 60%Crowd 72%+12pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 29% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Newcastle take the points in an open, end-to-end contest where both sides find the net and goals flow freely.

Match resultNewcastle
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 15% of voters

A sizeable minority pictures Everton pulling off the upset in a lively, high-scoring affair where both teams get on the scoresheet.

Match resultEverton
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 3 · 10% of voters

A compact alternative: Newcastle grind out a tight, low-scoring win that shuts Everton out and keeps the goal tally minimal.

Match resultNewcastle
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
54% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 547 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
129%160 voters
NewcastlePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.3×
215%83 voters
EvertonPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.2×
310%55 voters
NewcastlePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.5×
410%52 voters
NewcastlePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.6×
58%43 voters
EvertonPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.8×
66%34 voters
EvertonPending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
1.6×
76%33 voters
TiePending
Under 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
1.4×
85%26 voters
NewcastlePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.6×
95%25 voters
TiePending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
YesPending
0.8×
103%17 voters
EvertonPending
Over 2.5 goalsPending
NoPending
0.6×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (547 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.18How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.3×The most-backed combination drew 1.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-5. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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