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Seattle Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Who leads at half-time?
75%Crowd
36%Market
+39Divergence

+39 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits far above market on Seattle leading at half-time.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who leads at half-time?Biggest gap36%75% Seattle+39
2Will there be more than 42.5 points?51%75% Under 42.5+24
3Who wins?57%50% Seattle Seahawks-7
4Will Seattle win by 3 or more?52%50% Yes-2
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario25%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters4World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Seattle Seahawks50%
Kansas City Chiefs50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
2Will Seattle win by 3 or more?
Yes50%
No50%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
3Will there be more than 42.5 points?
Under 42.575%
Over 42.525%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
4Who leads at half-time?
Seattle75%
Kansas City25%
Tie0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters4
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Seattle Seahawks
Mkt 57%Crowd 50%-7pp
: Thin
Will Seattle win by 3 or more: Yes
Mkt 52%Crowd 50%-2pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 42.5 points: Under 42.5
Mkt 51%Crowd 75%+24pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Seattle
Mkt 36%Crowd 75%+39pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 25% of voters

Kansas City takes the game without covering a big margin, points flow freely, but Seattle controls the first half before the Chiefs turn it around.

Who wins?Kansas City Chiefs
Will Seattle win by 3 or more?No
Will there be more than 42.5 points?Over 42.5
Who leads at half-time?Seattle
Scenario 2 · 25% of voters

A low-scoring, tight contest where Seattle sets the early tempo but Kansas City grinds out the win without pulling clear by a wide margin.

Who wins?Kansas City Chiefs
Will Seattle win by 3 or more?No
Will there be more than 42.5 points?Under 42.5
Who leads at half-time?Seattle
Scenario 3 · 25% of voters

Kansas City holds the early lead in a defensive, under-the-total game, yet Seattle comes back to win decisively and cover the margin.

Who wins?Seattle Seahawks
Will Seattle win by 3 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 42.5 points?Under 42.5
Who leads at half-time?Kansas City
75% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 4 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Seattle win by 3 or more?Will there be more than 42.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
125%1 voter
Kansas City ChiefsPending
NoPending
Over 42.5Pending
SeattlePending
5.3×
225%1 voter
Kansas City ChiefsPending
NoPending
Under 42.5Pending
SeattlePending
1.8×
325%1 voter
Seattle SeahawksPending
YesPending
Under 42.5Pending
Kansas CityPending
5.3×
425%1 voter
Seattle SeahawksPending
YesPending
Under 42.5Pending
SeattlePending
1.8×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (4 voters · top 4 of 4 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.63How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call5.3×The most-backed combination drew 5.3× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-4The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-4; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-21. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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