All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Independiente
Boca Juniors
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Match result
63%Crowd
46%Market
+17Divergence

+17 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on Boca Juniors, well below on a Tie.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Match resultBiggest gap46%63% CA Boca Juniors+17
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario63%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters548World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
CA Boca Juniors63%
CA Independiente26%
Tie11%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters548
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: CA Boca Juniors
Mkt 46%Crowd 63%+17pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 63% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Boca Juniors take the match, with nearly two thirds of voters converging on this single outcome.

Match resultCA Boca Juniors
Scenario 2 · 26% of voters

A clear minority picture: Independiente claim the result, backed by roughly one in four voters in a distant second place.

Match resultCA Independiente
Scenario 3 · 11% of voters

The crowd's least-favoured vision: the match ends level, drawing only a small share of voters despite the market pricing it as a live possibility.

Match resultTie
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 548 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch result
163%343 voters
CA Boca JuniorsPending
1.0×
226%142 voters
CA IndependientePending
1.0×
311%63 voters
TiePending
1.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (548 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.00How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.0×The most-backed combination drew 1.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-2. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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