All resolved pollsAwaiting result
Buffalo Bills
Baltimore Ravens
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Who wins?
83%Crowd
38%Market
+45Divergence

+45 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd leans Baltimore far above market price on the winner question.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who wins?Biggest gap38%83% Baltimore Ravens+45
2Will there be more than 53.5 points?50%67% Under 53.5+17
3Will Buffalo win by 4 or more?54%67% No+13
4Who leads at half-time?38%50% Baltimore+12
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario17%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationModeratehow much answers moved together
Voters6World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Baltimore Ravens83%
Buffalo Bills17%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters6
2Will Buffalo win by 4 or more?
No67%
Yes33%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters6
3Will there be more than 53.5 points?
Under 53.567%
Over 53.533%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters6
4Who leads at half-time?
Baltimore50%
Buffalo50%
Tie0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters6
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Baltimore Ravens
Mkt 38%Crowd 83%+45pp
: Thin
Will Buffalo win by 4 or more: No
Mkt 54%Crowd 67%+13pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 53.5 points: Under 53.5
Mkt 50%Crowd 67%+17pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Baltimore
Mkt 38%Crowd 50%+12pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 17% of voters

Ravens control from the front, Buffalo never pulls clear, yet both offenses fire enough to push the scoring past the total line.

Who wins?Baltimore Ravens
Will Buffalo win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 53.5 points?Over 53.5
Who leads at half-time?Baltimore
Scenario 2 · 17% of voters

Buffalo edges ahead at the break in a high-scoring first half, but the Ravens close the gap and pull through without ever letting Buffalo build a commanding lead.

Who wins?Baltimore Ravens
Will Buffalo win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 53.5 points?Over 53.5
Who leads at half-time?Buffalo
Scenario 3 · 17% of voters

Baltimore leads at the half and keeps a lid on scoring throughout, winning a tighter, lower-scoring game that never lets Buffalo get comfortable.

Who wins?Baltimore Ravens
Will Buffalo win by 4 or more?No
Will there be more than 53.5 points?Under 53.5
Who leads at half-time?Baltimore
50% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 6 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Moderate).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Buffalo win by 4 or more?Will there be more than 53.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
117%1 voter
Baltimore RavensPending
NoPending
Over 53.5Pending
BaltimorePending
1.8×
217%1 voter
Baltimore RavensPending
NoPending
Over 53.5Pending
BuffaloPending
1.8×
317%1 voter
Baltimore RavensPending
NoPending
Under 53.5Pending
BaltimorePending
0.9×
417%1 voter
Baltimore RavensPending
NoPending
Under 53.5Pending
BuffaloPending
0.9×
517%1 voter
Baltimore RavensPending
YesPending
Under 53.5Pending
BaltimorePending
1.8×
617%1 voter
Buffalo BillsPending
YesPending
Under 53.5Pending
BuffaloPending
8.9×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (6 voters · top 6 of 6 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.37How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.8×The most-backed combination drew 1.8× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-6The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-6; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-11. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.