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Green Bay Packers
Carolina Panthers
Closed
VoxPop gap highlight
Who leads at half-time?
80%Crowd
58%Market
+22Divergence

+22 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd sits well above market on Green Bay leading at half-time, and below market on the total.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Who leads at half-time?Biggest gap58%80% Green Bay+22
2Will there be more than 46.5 points?46%60% Under 46.5+14
3Who wins?65%60% Green Bay Packers-5
4Will Green Bay win by 3 or more?60%60% Yes0
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario20%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationHighhow much answers moved together
Voters5World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
Green Bay Packers60%
Carolina Panthers40%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
2Will Green Bay win by 3 or more?
Yes60%
No40%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
3Will there be more than 46.5 points?
Under 46.560%
Over 46.540%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
4Who leads at half-time?
Green Bay80%
Carolina20%
Tie0%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters5
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: Green Bay Packers
Mkt 65%Crowd 60%-5pp
: Thin
Will Green Bay win by 3 or more: Yes
Mkt 60%Crowd 60%0pp
: Thin
Will there be more than 46.5 points: Under 46.5
Mkt 46%Crowd 60%+14pp
: Thin
Who leads at half-time: Green Bay
Mkt 58%Crowd 80%+22pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 20% of voters

A contrarian vision: Carolina controls the first half, keeps the game tight and low-scoring, and pulls off the upset without Green Bay ever building a cushion.

Who wins?Carolina Panthers
Will Green Bay win by 3 or more?No
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Under 46.5
Who leads at half-time?Carolina
Scenario 2 · 20% of voters

Green Bay leads at the break and builds a margin, but Carolina claws back in a grinding, low-scoring second half to take the outright result.

Who wins?Carolina Panthers
Will Green Bay win by 3 or more?Yes
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Under 46.5
Who leads at half-time?Green Bay
Scenario 3 · 20% of voters

Green Bay leads at half-time and wins outright, but the margin stays narrow while both sides combine for a higher-scoring affair than the crowd's majority expects.

Who wins?Green Bay Packers
Will Green Bay win by 3 or more?No
Will there be more than 46.5 points?Over 46.5
Who leads at half-time?Green Bay
60% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 5 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance High).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Will Green Bay win by 3 or more?Will there be more than 46.5 points?Who leads at half-time?
120%1 voter
Carolina PanthersPending
NoPending
Under 46.5Pending
CarolinaPending
10.4×
220%1 voter
Carolina PanthersPending
YesPending
Under 46.5Pending
Green BayPending
1.7×
320%1 voter
Green Bay PackersPending
NoPending
Over 46.5Pending
Green BayPending
2.6×
420%1 voter
Green Bay PackersPending
YesPending
Over 46.5Pending
Green BayPending
1.7×
520%1 voter
Green Bay PackersPending
YesPending
Under 46.5Pending
Green BayPending
1.2×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (5 voters · top 5 of 5 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.50How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call10.4×The most-backed combination drew 10.4× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-5The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-5; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-52. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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