All resolved pollsResolved · 10 SEPT 2026Crowd beat the market
Los Angeles RamsCrowd had 49%7
San Francisco 49ersWon · Crowd had 51%27
The verdict

The crowd called it — San Francisco 49ers won 7–27.

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers 578 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 15 points above the market's price on San Francisco 49ers, and the crowd had it.

51%Crowd on San Francisco 49ers
36%Market price
+15Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
2 / 4questions the crowd called · 2 surprises
winsCrowd beat the market
Against the spread, who…Crowd beat the market
total points are scoredSurprise
leads at half-timeSurprise
The crowd's read
Top scenario13%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters578World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Who wins?
San Francisco 49ers ✓51%
Los Angeles Rams49%
OutcomeSan Francisco 49ers
Voters578
ReadCrowd
2Against the spread, who covers?
San Francisco 49ers +3.5 ✓56%
Los Angeles Rams -3.544%
OutcomeSan Francisco 49ers +3.5
Voters578
ReadCrowd
3How many total points are scored?
Over 47.556%
Under 47.5 ✓44%
OutcomeUnder 47.5
Voters578
ReadUpset
4Who leads at half-time?
Los Angeles Rams42%
San Francisco 49ers ✓40%
Tie18%
OutcomeSan Francisco 49ers
Voters578
ReadUpset
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Who wins: San Francisco 49ersCrowd
Mkt 36%Crowd 51%+15pp
Result: San Francisco 49ers · 0.48
: Deep
Against the spread, who covers: San Francisco 49ers +3.5Crowd
Mkt 49%Crowd 56%+7pp
Result: San Francisco 49ers +3.5 · 0.39
: Deep
How many total points are scored: Over 47.5Upset
Mkt 52%Crowd 56%+4pp
Result: Under 47.5 · 0.63
: Deep
Who leads at half-time: Los Angeles RamsUpset
Mkt 56%Crowd 42%-14pp
Result: San Francisco 49ers · 0.57
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Who wins0.48
Against the spread, who covers0.39
How many total points are scored0.63
Who leads at half-time0.57
Average0.52
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 13% of voters

A 49ers-controlled game from the opening drive, San Francisco leading at the break and both offences combining for a high-scoring, spread-beating afternoon.

Who wins?San Francisco 49ers
Against the spread, who covers?San Francisco 49ers +3.5
How many total points are scored?Over 47.5
Who leads at half-time?San Francisco 49ers
Scenario 2 · 11% of voters

The Rams seize the game early, lead at halftime, and pull away convincingly enough to cover a home-favourite spread in a free-flowing, points-heavy contest.

Who wins?Los Angeles Rams
Against the spread, who covers?Los Angeles Rams -3.5
How many total points are scored?Over 47.5
Who leads at half-time?Los Angeles Rams
Scenario 3 · 10% of voters · came true

San Francisco wins but the game stays tight and low-scoring, the 49ers grinding out a controlled lead at the break and keeping the scoreboard modest throughout.

Who wins?San Francisco 49ers
Against the spread, who covers?San Francisco 49ers +3.5
How many total points are scored?Under 47.5
Who leads at half-time?San Francisco 49ers
35% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 578 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosWho wins?Against the spread, who covers?How many total points are scored?Who leads at half-time?
113%77 voters
San Francisco 49ersCalled it!
San Francisco 49ers +3.5Called it!
Over 47.5Got it wrong
San Francisco 49ersCalled it!
2.1×
211%66 voters
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
Los Angeles Rams -3.5Got it wrong
Over 47.5Got it wrong
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
2.3×
310%58 voters
San Francisco 49ersCalled it!
San Francisco 49ers +3.5Called it!
Under 47.5Called it!
San Francisco 49ersCalled it!
2.0×
48%47 voters
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
Los Angeles Rams -3.5Got it wrong
Under 47.5Called it!
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
2.0×
55%31 voters
San Francisco 49ersCalled it!
San Francisco 49ers +3.5Called it!
Over 47.5Got it wrong
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
0.8×
65%28 voters
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
San Francisco 49ers +3.5Called it!
Over 47.5Got it wrong
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
0.8×
74%25 voters
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
San Francisco 49ers +3.5Called it!
Over 47.5Got it wrong
San Francisco 49ersCalled it!
0.7×
84%25 voters
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
San Francisco 49ers +3.5Called it!
Under 47.5Called it!
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
0.9×
93%20 voters
San Francisco 49ersCalled it!
Los Angeles Rams -3.5Got it wrong
Under 47.5Called it!
Los Angeles RamsGot it wrong
0.8×
103%19 voters
San Francisco 49ersCalled it!
Los Angeles Rams -3.5Got it wrong
Under 47.5Called it!
San Francisco 49ersCalled it!
0.8×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (578 voters · top 10 of 24 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.24How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call2.1×The most-backed combination drew 2.1× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-8The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-8; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-16. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
4 / 458 · 10%
3 / 4136 · 24%
2 / 4163 · 28%
1 / 4138 · 24%
0 / 483 · 14%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=578). Average 1.91 / 4.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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