All resolved pollsResolved · 1 NOV 2026Crowd & market agreed
JuventusWon · Crowd had 66%2
NapoliCrowd had 22%0
The verdict

The crowd called it — Juventus won 2–0.

Juventus vs Napoli 543 verified humans answered. The crowd's read sat 22 points above the market's price on Juventus, and the crowd had it.

66%Crowd on Juventus
44%Market price
+22Points of divergence

The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.

Detailed match data
How the crowd called it
1 / 3questions the crowd called · 1 alongside the market · 1 surprise
Match resultCrowd & market agreed
there be more than 2.5…Market beat the crowd
both teams scoreSurprise
The crowd's read
Top scenario33%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters543World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Match result
Juventus ✓66%
Napoli22%
Tie12%
OutcomeJuventus
Voters543
ReadConsensus
2Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals54%
Under 2.5 goals ✓46%
OutcomeUnder 2.5 goals
Voters543
ReadMarket
3Will both teams score?
Yes74%
No ✓26%
OutcomeNo
Voters543
ReadUpset
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Match result: JuventusConsensus
Mkt 44%Crowd 66%+22pp
Result: Juventus · 0.18
: Deep
Will there be more than 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goalsMarket
Mkt 49%Crowd 54%+5pp
Result: Under 2.5 goals · 0.58
: Deep
Will both teams score: YesUpset
Mkt 54%Crowd 74%+20pp
Result: No · 1.10
: Deep
The crowd's calibration · Brier
The crowd's calibration, question by question
Match result0.18
Will there be more than 2.5 goals0.58
Will both teams score1.10
Average0.62
Brier scores how well-calibrated the crowd was on each question: 0 is a perfect, confident, correct call · ~0.25 is a coin-flip · higher means the crowd leaned away from what happened. Computed from the crowd's own vote split vs what actually happened — no betting market involved.
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 33% of voters

The crowd's dominant vision: Juventus winning an open, end-to-end contest with goals at both ends and the scoreboard ticking past two and a half.

Match resultJuventus
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Over 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 2 · 16% of voters

A tighter Juventus win, both sides finding the net but the game staying cagey and contained, goals scarce yet shared across the two teams.

Match resultJuventus
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?Yes
Scenario 3 · 13% of voters · came true

Juventus grinding out a controlled, shut-out victory, the game low on goals and Napoli kept off the scoresheet entirely.

Match resultJuventus
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?Under 2.5 goals
Will both teams score?No
62% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 543 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosMatch resultWill there be more than 2.5 goals?Will both teams score?
133%178 voters
JuventusCalled it!
Over 2.5 goalsGot it wrong
YesGot it wrong
1.2×
216%85 voters
JuventusCalled it!
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
YesGot it wrong
0.7×
313%72 voters
JuventusCalled it!
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
NoCalled it!
1.7×
411%61 voters
NapoliGot it wrong
Over 2.5 goalsGot it wrong
YesGot it wrong
1.3×
57%37 voters
TieGot it wrong
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
YesGot it wrong
1.7×
65%29 voters
NapoliGot it wrong
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
YesGot it wrong
0.7×
74%23 voters
JuventusCalled it!
Over 2.5 goalsGot it wrong
NoCalled it!
0.5×
83%17 voters
NapoliGot it wrong
Under 2.5 goalsCalled it!
NoCalled it!
1.2×
93%14 voters
TieGot it wrong
Over 2.5 goalsGot it wrong
YesGot it wrong
0.5×
103%14 voters
NapoliGot it wrong
Over 2.5 goalsGot it wrong
NoCalled it!
0.8×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (543 voters · top 10 of 12 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.17How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.2×The most-backed combination drew 1.2× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-3The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-3; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-4. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
How right was the crowd · alignment
3 / 372 · 13%
2 / 3133 · 24%
1 / 3263 · 48%
0 / 375 · 14%
Legs each complete ballot got right (n=543). Average 1.37 / 3.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.