All resolved pollsNo result
Puebla
Toluca
This poll cannot be scored, so there is no result
VoxPop gap highlight
Puebla vs Toluca: how does it end?
49%Crowd
59%Market
-10Divergence

-10 ppts divergence with the market.

Crowd underweights Toluca and overweights Puebla relative to the market on both sides of the same match.

QuestionMarketCrowdGap
1Puebla vs Toluca: how does it end?Biggest gap59%49% Toluca-10
The market price is a yardstick, not a recommendation; the crowd's read is sentiment, not a prediction or financial advice.
Detailed match data
The crowd's read
Top scenario49%share in the most-picked scenario
Cross-market correlationLowhow much answers moved together
Voters714World ID voters
How the crowd voted per leg
1Puebla vs Toluca: how does it end?
Toluca49%
Puebla29%
Tie21%
OutcomeNot yet resolved
Voters714
Crowd vs market · every leg

How the crowd's read sat against the betting price on every question. The market's a yardstick, not a call: Deep = liquid enough to trust, Thin = directional only.

Puebla vs Toluca: how does it end: Toluca
Mkt 59%Crowd 49%-10pp
: Thin
VoxPop top scenarios
Scenario 1 · 49% of voters

Nearly half the crowd sees Toluca leaving Puebla with the points, making it the plurality vision, though the market prices this path with considerably more confidence than the

Puebla vs Toluca: how does it end?Toluca
Scenario 2 · 29% of voters

Roughly three in ten voters picture the home side turning the table on Toluca, a share that sits well above what the market assigns to that outcome.

Puebla vs Toluca: how does it end?Puebla
Scenario 3 · 21% of voters

About one in five voters sees neither side separating, a stalemate vision that sits almost exactly in line with where the market prices a draw.

Puebla vs Toluca: how does it end?Tie
100% of voters backed the top 3 scenarios · 714 voters
The crowd's map · top scenarios

★ = the cell that actually happened; ♥ = the crowd's most-backed. × is how much more the crowd clustered on a combination than answering each question independently predicts — a cross-leg correlation a per-leg market can't price (overall TV-distance Low).

The crowd's top scenariosJoint distribution
Crowd scenariosPuebla vs Toluca: how does it end?
149%353 voters
TolucaPending
1.0×
229%208 voters
PueblaPending
1.0×
321%153 voters
TiePending
1.0×
Each row is one full scenario the crowd could pick, most-backed first (714 voters · top 3 of 3 combinations). vs ind. above 1× means the crowd clustered on that exact combination together.
0.00How far the crowd's whole picture sat from treating each question on its own. 0 = they answered independently; closer to 1 = the questions moved together.
Clustering on the top call1.0×The most-backed combination drew 1.0× as many voters as separate answers would predict — the crowd piled onto it together.
Rarity of the top call1-in-2The crowd put its top scenario at about 1-in-2; answering each question separately implies ~1-in-2. Shorter odds = more crowd conviction.
Crowd sentiment is shown only after a poll closes — never mid-vote. "Crowd called it" means the crowd's top pick matched the result; it is not a claim the crowd is right in general. Aggregate data from World ID voters — a crowd view, not a prediction or advice.
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